Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 12/17/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Saturday, December 17, 2022

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: NFL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

Highmark Stadium is the location where the Buffalo Bills (10-3) will attempt to beat the Miami Dolphins (8-5) on Saturday. Buffalo opens this game as 7.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 47.5.

The Miami Dolphins step onto the field holding a record of 8-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Dolphins took on the Chargers and took a loss by a final of 23-17. Raheem Mostert was the leader on the ground for the Dolphins with 11 carries for 37 yards (3.4 yards per attempt). Tyreek Hill averaged 20.3 yds per reception by tallying 81 yards on 4 catches. Tua Tagovailoa connected on 10/28 with 145 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 65.3 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Dolphins gave up 82 yards on 23 tries, which is 3.6 yards per rush allowed. Miami conceded 39 pass completions on 51 tries for a total of 350 yds, and a completion rate of 76.5%. When the final whistle blew, they had 49 plays which totaled 219 yards. The Miami Dolphins ended up running the ball 19 times and amassed 92 yds, earning them an average of 4.8 yds per attempt.

When it comes to scoring, the Miami Dolphins are sitting at 24.3 points per outing. Offensively they are averaging 89.8 yards in the run game ranking them 29th in the NFL. The Dolphins have earned 4,781 yards in total for this campaign. Miami has a total of 179 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 81 penalties for 650 yds. They have surrendered the ball 15 different times (10 interceptions and 5 fumbles). In terms of getting in the endzone, Miami has compiled 25 touchdowns through the air and 9 rushing touchdowns.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Dolphins have allowed 3,152 yards which ranks them 23rd in football. They are giving up 242.5 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 68.5%. During the season, they have surrendered 350.8 yards/outing ranking them 20th in football. They have yielded 20 touchdowns through the air as well as 14 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per attempt on the ground and 108.3 yards on the ground per game for the season. Overall, they have conceded 1,408 yards via the ground game in 13 games. The Dolphins are ranked 22nd in the league when it comes to team defense, conceding 24.0 PPG.

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The Bills step onto the field holding a record of 10-3 for this season. In their last game, the Bills took home the win by a final score of 20-12 against the Jets. Josh Allen (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 147 yds on 16/27 through the air while his QB rate was 86.5. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.4 yds. Josh Allen carried the rock 10 times for 47 yds, ending the game with 4.7 yards per carry for Buffalo. Dawson Knox was featured in the passing game for the Bills, grabbing 4 throws for 41 yards (10.3 yards per catch). Buffalo ran the ball for 4.3 yds per carry, finishing the game with 102 yds on 24 attempts. The Bills finished the game with a total of 232 yds while running 54 plays (4.3 yards per play). The Bills passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 59.6%, relinquishing 233 yds on 28 out of 47 through the air. Buffalo relinquished 22 rushing attempts for 76 yds (3.5 yards per carry).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Bills currently sit 4th in football averaging 27.2 points per game. During the season so far, the Bills have thrown for a total of 3,424 yards via the pass along with an average of 263.4 passing yards per game, which is ranked 6th in the NFL. They hold an average of 133.7 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,738 yards for the year. The Buffalo Bills maintain an average of 397.1 yards/outing which has them ranked 2nd in football. The Buffalo offense has compiled 566 penalty yards on 74 violations, which has them ranked 16th in football in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 11 picks while surrendering 9 fumbles and they have been able to record 177 1st downs.

The Bills are allowing 17.0 points per game, ranking them 2nd of all teams in the league. They have allowed the opposition 15 touchdowns from the passing game and 219.5 yards/contest, which has them ranked 19th in the NFL. In total, they have surrendered 221 total points. Buffalo has conceded a total of 1,298 yards on the ground (99.8 yards per contest) as well as 9 touchdowns by ground for the year. The Bills defense taken the field for 817 plays, which ranks them 14th in the league. Their defense has tallied 22 takeaways (9 fumbles and 13 picks) so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -7.5

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