Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Prediction, 10/2/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+7)

Total/Over-Under: 46

The Houston Texans (0-2-1) host the Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Los Angeles opens as 7-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 46.

The Los Angeles Chargers step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 this season. In their last contest, the Chargers took the field against the Jaguars and ended up losing by a score of 38-10. Justin Herbert went 25/45 with 297 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 74 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Sony Michel was the leader on the ground for the Chargers with 5 totes for 22 yds (4.4 yards per carry). Josh Palmer had an average of 16.5 yds per reception by accumulating 99 yds on 6 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ran the rock 12 times and compiled 26 yards, which came out to an average of 2.2 yds per carry. For the game, they ran 58 plays which gave them 312 yards. Los Angeles surrendered 28 completions on 39 attempts for a total of 262 yds, and a completion percentage of 71.8%. When it came to stopping the run, the Chargers conceded 151 yards on 36 attempts, which is an average of 4.2 yds per run allowed.

Regarding scoring, the Los Angeles Chargers are averaging 19.3 points per game. As a team they hold an average of 59.0 yards on the ground ranking this team at 32nd in the National Football League. The Chargers have racked up 1,068 yards in total this season. Los Angeles has amassed 40 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 15 penalties for 100 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 3 different times (2 interceptions and 1 fumble). In terms of getting in the endzone, Los Angeles has amassed 7 passing touchdowns and 0 touchdowns on the ground.

The Chargers are ranked 29th in the NFL in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 28.0 points per game. They are giving up 4.6 yards per rush and 102.7 rushing yards per game this year. In total, they have allowed 308 rushing yards through 3 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Chargers have surrendered 744 yards which has them sitting in 20th in football. They have given up 248.0 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 66.7%. Overall, they have surrendered 350.7 yards per outing which puts them 19th in the league. They have relinquished 7 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground.

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The Texans head into this game 0-2-1 this season. The last time they took the field, the Texans took a loss by a score of 23-20 when they played the Bears. Davis Mills (1 TD) walked away from the game with 245 yards on 20/32 passing while his QB rate was 70.4. He threw 2 interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.7 yds. Dameon Pierce carried the ball 20 times for 80 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.0 yds per carry for Houston. Chris Moore was featured in the passing game for the Texans, grabbing 3 balls for 63 yds (21.0 yards per catch). Houston ended up running for 3.8 yds per carry, finishing the game with 92 yds on 24 carries. The Texans finished with 329 yds on 57 plays (5.8 yards per play). The Texans pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 47.1%, surrendering 82 yards on 8 out of 17 through the air. Houston conceded 40 rushing attempts for 281 yds (7.0 yds per rush).

The Houston Texans average 287.3 yards per game which ranks them 29th in football. They average 83.0 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 249 yards for the year. The Houston offense has compiled 159 penalty yds on 17 violations, which has them ranked 17th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 2 interceptions while letting opponents recover 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 27 first downs. During the season so far, the Texans have thrown for a total of 613 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 204.3 passing yards per outing, ranking them 25th in football. In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Texans are 26th in the league by scoring 16.3 points per outing.

They have given up 2 touchdowns through the air and 207.7 yards/game, which puts them in 11th out of all teams. Houston has allowed a total of 607 yards on the ground (202.3 yards per contest) and 3 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have 5 takeaways (1 fumble recovery and 4 picks) for the season. The Texans defense taken the field for 217 plays, which ranks 31st in the NFL. In total, they have relinquished 59 points in total. The Texans are conceding 19.7 points per game, which puts them in 13th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chargers -7

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