Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans Prediction, 12/18/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, December 18, 2022

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+14)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The Houston Texans (1-11-1) welcome the Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Houston opens this matchup as 14-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 49.

The Kansas City Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 10-3 this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Chiefs stepped onto the field against the Broncos and took home the win by a score of 34-28. Patrick Mahomes finished 28/42 with 352 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 86.6 and ended the game with 3 interceptions. Jerick McKinnon held an average of 16.0 yds per reception by accumulating 112 yards on 7 catches. Isiah Pacheco was the rushing leader for the Chiefs with 13 carries for 70 yds (5.4 yds per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 67 plays which gave them 431 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs rushed the ball a total of 23 times and recorded 89 yds, which came out to an average of 3.9 yds per carry. Against the rush, the Chiefs gave up 106 yards on 19 attempts, which calculates to 5.6 yds per rush allowed. Kansas City surrendered 27 pass completions on 44 tries for 214 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.4%.

Concerning scoring points, the Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 29.5 PPG. As a team they average 114.6 yards via the ground game which ranks them 18th in the National Football League. The Chiefs have earned 5,510 total yards over the course of this season. Kansas City has compiled 216 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 62 penalties for 623 yds. They have turned the football over 19 different times (11 interceptions and 8 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Kansas City has compiled 33 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns.

The Chiefs rank 18th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, giving up 22.9 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 106.2 rushing yards per game for the season. For the season, they have conceded 1,380 rushing yards through 13 contests. When talking about yards via the pass, the Chiefs have conceded 3,061 yards which ranks them 22nd in football. They are conceding 235.5 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 67.4%. For the year, they have given up 341.6 yards per game ranking them 15th in the NFL. They have relinquished 28 touchdowns via the pass as well as 7 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Texans come into this game with a record of 1-11-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans took a defeat with a final score of 27-23 against the Cowboys. Davis Mills ended the contest with 175 yards on 16/21 through the air while his quarterback rating was 80.5. He had 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.3 yards. Chris Moore was the best receiver for the Texans, hauling in 10 balls for 124 yards (12.4 yards per reception). Dameon Pierce carried the football 22 times for 78 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.5 yards per attempt for Houston. The Texans finished the contest with a total of 327 yards and they ran 64 plays (5.1 yards per play). Houston rushed the ball for 3.1 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 114 yds on 37 attempts. Houston surrendered 31 rush attempts for 127 yds (4.1 yds per rush). The Texans passing defense gave up a completion rate of 61.5%, relinquishing 277 yards on 24 out of 39 through the air.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Texans are ranked 30th out of all teams in the NFL averaging 16.2 points per contest. Over the course of the season thus far, the Texans have thrown for 2,510 passing yards along with an average of 193.1 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 26th out of all NFL teams. They average 89.9 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,169 yards for this year. The Houston Texans hold an average of 283.0 yards per contest which ranks them 32nd in the league. The Houston offense has accrued 490 yards of penalties on 66 infractions, which is 27th in football in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 16 picks while conceding 6 fumbles and they have been able to earn 119 first downs.

The Texans are giving up 24.2 points per game, ranking them 26th in the NFL. They have conceded 11 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 214.4 yards per game, which has them sitting 14th in the league. Overall, they have allowed 314 points in total. Houston has allowed a total of 2,156 yards rushing (165.8 yards per game) as well as 17 touchdowns via the rush this season. The Texans defense has participated in 870 plays, which has them ranked 31st in the NFL. They have compiled 17 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 10 picks) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs -14

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