Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction, 1/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, January 1, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 43

The Jacksonville Jaguars (7-8) are traveling to NRG Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the Houston Texans (2-12-1). Jacksonville opens as 4-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 43.

The Jacksonville Jaguars head into this matchup 7-8 for this season. In their last game, the Jaguars faced off with the Jets and walked away with a win by a score of 19-3. Trevor Lawrence finished 20/31 with 229 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rate of 86.6 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Evan Engram left with an average of 16.1 yds per reception by accounting for 113 yds on 7 catches. Travis Etienne was the leader on the ground for the Jaguars with 22 carries for 83 yards (3.8 yds per attempt). In the game, they tallied 71 plays which totaled 365 yds. The Jacksonville Jaguars ended up running the ball 39 times and had 147 yds, which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Jaguars gave up 66 yds on 20 attempts, which calculates to 3.3 yds per run allowed. Jacksonville gave up 19 pass completions on 33 tries for a total of 161 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.6%.

The Jaguars currently have 5,516 total yards over the course of this season. Jacksonville has tallied 188 first downs, and they have been called for 84 penalties for 619 yards. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Jacksonville has earned 24 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 19 times (7 picks and 12 fumbles lost). As a unit they're averaging 128.5 yards on the ground ranking them 11th in the league. Regarding scoring points, the Jacksonville Jaguars are sitting at 23.5 PPG.

The Jaguars sit in 15th in the NFL in relation to their opponents scoring, conceding 22.1 PPG. They are giving up an average of 4.2 yards per run and 114.7 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 1,720 yards via the ground game in 15 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Jaguars have surrendered 3,697 yards which has them sitting in 29th in the NFL. They are giving up 246.5 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 64.4%. For the season, they are granting 361.1 yards/outing ranking them 26th in the league. They have yielded 24 touchdowns via the pass as well as 14 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Texans head into this matchup 2-12-1 for this season. In their last game, the Texans took home the win by a final score of 19-14 when they played the Titans. Royce Freeman ran the football 16 times for 32 yards, finishing the contest with 2.0 yds per carry for Houston. Phillip Dorsett was the leading receiver for the Texans, grabbing 3 balls for 45 yards (15.0 yds per catch). Davis Mills (1 TD) finished the game with 178 yards on 17/28 passing while his quarterback rate was 76.2. He threw 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 6.4 yds. Houston relinquished 31 running attempts for 184 yards (5.9 yards per rush). The Texans passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 60.9%, surrendering 88 yds on 14 out of 23 through the air. The Texans finished the contest with 285 yards and they ran 63 plays (4.5 yards per play). Houston rushed the ball for 2.3 yards per carry, finishing with 70 yds on 30 attempts.

The Houston Texans have an average of 278.9 yards per outing which is good for 32nd out of all teams in the league. They average 88.9 run yards per game and have run for 1,333 yards overall. The Houston offense has compiled 558 penalty yds on 74 violations, which is good for 29th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 17 picks while losing 7 fumbles and they have tallied 135 1st downs. During this campaign thus far, the Texans have compiled 2,850 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 190.0 passing yards per outing, which ranks 26th out of all NFL teams. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Texans are sitting 30th in the NFL holding an average of 16.9 points per contest.

The Texans are giving up 23.9 PPG, which puts them in 26th in the league. They have conceded 13 touchdowns via the pass as well as 212.5 yards per contest, which has them ranked 13th out of all teams. This year, they have relinquished 358 total points. Houston has given up a total of 2,529 yards via the ground game (168.6 yards per game) as well as 21 touchdowns rushing this season. The Texans defense has been on the field for 1,004 plays, which is good for 31st in the league. Their defense has compiled 22 takeaways (10 fumbles and 12 interceptions) this year.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jaguars -4

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