Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 11/27/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, November 27, 2022

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Houston Texans (1-8-1) are hitting the road to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Miami Dolphins (7-3). Miami opens this contest as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 45.

The Houston Texans head into this matchup 1-8-1 for this year. In their last contest, the Texans faced the Commanders and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 23-10. Davis Mills went 19/33 with 169 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 46.1 and ended the contest with 2 interceptions. Davis Mills was the leader on the ground for the Texans with 5 totes for 10 yds (2.0 yards per attempt). Brandin Cooks averaged 23.3 yards per catch by earning 70 yds on 3 receptions. The Houston Texans ran the ball a total of 16 times and totaled 21 yards, earning them an average of 1.3 yds per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 54 plays which totaled 148 yards. Houston surrendered 15 pass completions on 27 attempts for 191 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. On the ground, the Texans gave up 153 yds on 40 tries, which is an average of 3.8 yds per rush allowed.

The Texans have racked up 2,859 total yards for the season. Houston has recorded 90 first downs, and they have been flagged for 52 infractions for 389 yards. When it comes to scoring, Houston has earned 11 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 13 different times (11 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). As a team they're averaging 93.7 yards on the ground ranking them 29th in the league. Concerning scoring points, the Houston Texans have an average of 15.9 points per game.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Texans have given up 2,107 yards which puts them in 9th in the NFL. They have allowed 210.7 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.3%. During the season, they are allowing 389.6 yards/game ranking them 31st in the NFL. They have granted 9 touchdowns through the air and 14 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 5.1 yards per tote and 178.9 rushing yards per contest this season. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,789 yards via the running game in 10 games. The Texans are sitting in 18th in the league when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 23.0 points per contest.

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The Dolphins come into this game with a record of 7-3 this season. In their last contest, the Dolphins went home victorious with a score of 39-17 when they faced the Browns. Jeff Wilson carried the football 17 times for 119 yds, finishing the game with 7.0 yards per carry for Miami. Jaylen Waddle was the leading receiver for the Dolphins, catching 4 passes for 66 yds (16.5 yds per catch). Tua Tagovailoa (3 TDs) finished the game with 285 yds on 25/32 passing while his QB rating was 135. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 8.9 yds. Miami relinquished 24 rushing attempts for 112 yards (4.7 yds per carry). The Dolphins pass defense gave up a completion rate of 62.9%, surrendering 185 yds on 22 for 35 through the air. The Dolphins finished the game with 491 yards and they ran 67 plays (7.3 yards per play). Miami ran the ball for 5.9 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 195 yds on 33 carries.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Dolphins currently sit 6th out of all teams in the league by tallying 25.2 PPG. During the season thus far, the Dolphins have thrown for a total of 2,938 passing yards together with holding an average of 293.8 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 2nd in the league. They average 97.7 rushing yards per game and have run for 977 yards overall. The Miami Dolphins hold an average of 391.5 yards/outing which has them ranked 3rd out of all teams in the NFL. The Miami offense has accrued 497 penalty yds on 63 violations, which is 11th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 7 picks while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 144 1st downs.

They have allowed 16 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 239.8 yards/game, which puts them in 22nd in the NFL. Miami has given up a total of 1,169 yards rushing (116.9 yards per game) and 12 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have tallied 8 takeaways (4 fumbles and 4 interceptions) on the campaign. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 625 plays, which is good for 10th in the league. Over the course of the season, they have given up 241 total points. The Dolphins are surrendering 24.1 PPG, which has them in 23rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Texans +9.5

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