Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 10/9/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, October 9, 2022

Location: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Houston Texans (0-3-1) are on their way to TIAA Bank Field on Sunday where they will try to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2). Jacksonville opens this game as 7-point favorites. The over/under is 43.5.

The Houston Texans head into this game 0-3-1 this season. In their last game, the Texans took on the Chargers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 34-24. Dameon Pierce was the best rusher for the Texans with 14 carries for 131 yds (9.4 yards per attempt). Brandin Cooks held an average of 8.1 yards per reception by earning 57 yds on 7 catches. Davis Mills went 26/35 with 246 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 88.5 and ended the contest with 2 picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Texans conceded 81 yards on 27 attempts, which calculates to 3.0 yds per rush surrendered. Houston surrendered 27 completions on 39 attempts for a total of 338 yards, and a completion rate of 69.2%. When all was said and done, they had 53 plays which totaled 346 yards. The Houston Texans rushed the ball a total of 14 different times and had 131 yds, which earned them an average of 9.4 yards per attempt.

Concerning scoring points, the Houston Texans have an average of 18.3 PPG. Offensively they average 95.0 yards in the run game which ranks them 25th in the league. The Texans have racked up 1,208 total yards for the season. Houston has compiled 38 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 26 infractions for 226 yards. They have turned the ball over 5 different times (4 picks and 1 fumble). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Houston has amassed 5 passing touchdowns and 2 touchdowns via the ground.

The Texans sit in 17th in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 23.3 points per game. They are giving up 5.1 yards per rushing attempt and 172.0 rushing yards per game this year. For the year, they have allowed 688 yards via the running game in 4 outings. When it comes to yards through the air, the Texans have conceded 961 yards which puts them in 18th in the NFL. They have surrendered 240.3 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 59.1%. Over the course of this season, they are granting 412.3 yards/contest which ranks them 29th in the National Football League. They have surrendered 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Jaguars head into this game 2-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Jaguars took a loss by a final score of 29-21 when they played the Eagles. Trevor Lawrence (2 TDs) ended the game with 174 yds on 11/23 through the air while his quarterback rate was 84.3. He had 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.6 yds. Travis Etienne ran the ball 8 times for 32 yards, finishing the contest with 4.0 yards per attempt for Jacksonville. Jamal Agnew was the top contributor in the passing game for the Jaguars, hauling in 4 footballs for 50 yds (12.5 yards per catch). Jacksonville rushed for 3.7 yards per attempt, totaling 71 yds on 19 attempts. The Jaguars finished the game with 219 yds and they ran 46 plays (4.8 yds per play). The Jaguars secondary conceded a completion rate of 64.0%, surrendering 191 yds on 16 for 25 through the air. Jacksonville relinquished 50 rush attempts for 210 yds (4.2 yards per rush).

When discussing how much they score, the Jaguars are 7th out of all teams in football holding an average of 26.3 PPG. Over the course of the season so far, the Jaguars have thrown for 905 yards through the air as well as an average of 226.3 passing yards per game, putting them at 18th in football. They hold an average of 110.3 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 441 yards for this year. The Jacksonville Jaguars are averaging 336.5 yards per game which has them ranked 20th in the NFL. The Jacksonville offense has 157 penalty yards on 22 violations, which is 21st in the league in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 2 picks while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have tallied 52 1st downs.

The Jaguars are conceding 16.8 points per game, which puts them in 4th in the league. They have conceded 5 touchdowns through the air and 236.5 yards per outing, which has them sitting 16th out of all teams. In total, they have surrendered 67 total points. Jacksonville has surrendered a total of 375 yards on the ground (93.8 yards per outing) and 4 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Jaguars defense has been on the field for 253 plays, which ranks 18th in football. Their defense has earned 9 takeaways (2 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Texans +7

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