Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 12/25/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, December 25, 2022

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46

The Miami Dolphins (8-6) are welcoming the Green Bay Packers (6-8) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. Miami opens this game as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 46.

The Green Bay Packers step onto the field holding a record of 6-8 this year. In their last contest, the Packers played the Rams and went home with a win by a final score of 24-12. Aaron Rodgers finished 22/30 with 229 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 92.2 and ended the game with 1 pick. Romeo Doubs left with an average of 11.0 yards per reception by recording 55 yards on 5 receptions. Aaron Jones was the best rusher for the Packers with 17 attempts for 90 yds (5.3 yards per attempt). In the game, they tallied 68 plays which converted into 345 yards. The Green Bay Packers ran the ball 35 times and accumulated 138 yds, earning them an average of 3.9 yards per attempt. In the running game, the Packers conceded 72 yards on 17 tries, which calculates to 4.2 yards per run surrendered. Green Bay surrendered 12 pass completions on 21 tries for 84 yds, and a completion rate of 57.1%.

The Packers have earned 4,838 total yards for this campaign. Green Bay has tallied 156 1st downs, and they have committed 77 penalties for 642 yds. In terms of scoring, Green Bay has totaled 24 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 19 times (10 interceptions and 9 fumbles). As a team they average 126.3 yards on the ground ranking them 12th in the NFL. When it comes to scoring points, the Green Bay Packers hold an average of 20.5 PPG.

The Packers sit in 15th in the National Football League concerning team defense, conceding 22.4 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 5.0 yards per rushing attempt and 148.9 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. In total, they have given up 2,084 running yards through 14 contests. Regarding yards through the air, the Packers have surrendered 2,592 yards which ranks them 2nd in the league. They have yielded 185.1 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 65.9%. For the season, they are surrendering 334.0 yards per outing which has them sitting 15th in the NFL. They have given up 19 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Dolphins step onto the field holding a record of 8-6 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Dolphins took a loss by a score of 32-29 when they played the Bills. Tua Tagovailoa (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 234 yds on 17/30 through the air while his QB rating was 104. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.8 yds. Jaylen Waddle had the best day in terms of receiving for the Dolphins, hauling in 3 balls for 114 yards (38.0 yds per catch). Raheem Mostert carried the football 17 times for 136 yards, walking away from the game with 8.0 yds per attempt for Miami. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 405 yards while they ran 57 plays (7.1 yds per play). Miami ran for 7.5 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 188 yards on 25 attempts. Miami allowed 29 attempts on the ground for 150 yards (5.2 yds per carry). The Dolphins pass defense gave up a completion rate of 62.5%, relinquishing 296 yds on 25 for 40 through the air.

When looking at their scoring prowess, the Dolphins are sitting 9th in football with 24.6 PPG. For the year so far, the Dolphins have earned 3,830 yards via the pass as well as an average of 273.6 throwing yards per contest, which is ranked 3rd in football. They hold an average of 96.9 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,356 yards for the year. The Miami Dolphins average 370.4 yards per outing which ranks them 5th out of all teams in the NFL. The Miami offense has accrued 701 yds of penalties on 89 violations, which is good for 8th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 10 interceptions while losing 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 188 1st downs.

They have surrendered 24 touchdowns through the air and 246.3 yards per game, ranking them 27th out of all teams. Miami has yielded a total of 1,558 yards on the ground (111.3 yards per contest) and 14 touchdowns on the ground for the season. Their defense has earned 13 turnovers (6 fumbles and 7 picks) on the season. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 911 plays, which has them ranked 28th in the league. This year, they have given up 344 points in total. The Dolphins are allowing 24.6 PPG, which has them sitting 26th in football.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Packers +4.5

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