Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, January 1, 2023

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is the location where the Kansas City Chiefs (12-3) will try to beat the Denver Broncos (4-11) on Sunday. Denver opens this matchup as 13.5-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 45.

The Denver Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 4-11 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos took on the Rams and took a loss by a final of 51-14. Russell Wilson went 15/27 with 214 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 54.2 and ended the game with 3 picks. Jerry Jeudy left with an average of 19.5 yds per catch by totaling 117 yards on 6 receptions. Latavius Murray was the best rusher for the Broncos with 8 attempts for 34 yds (4.3 yards per carry). At the end of the game, they ran 61 plays for 323 yards. The Denver Broncos ran the football 20 times and totaled 104 yds, earning them an average of 5.2 yards per carry. In the running game, the Broncos conceded 158 yds on 36 attempts, which calculates to 4.4 yards per rush surrendered. Denver relinquished 24 completions on 28 attempts for a total of 230 yds, and a completion percentage of 85.7%.

Concerning scoring, the Denver Broncos hold an average of 15.5 points per outing. As a team they're maintaining an average of 107.5 yards in the run game which has them sitting 23rd in the league. The Broncos have tallied 4,749 total yards this season. Denver has accrued 146 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 107 penalties for 911 yds. They have surrendered the ball 20 different times (13 picks and 7 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Denver has earned 14 touchdowns via the pass and 8 rushing touchdowns.

The Broncos rank 8th in the league in relation to team defense, giving up 20.3 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 117.4 rushing yards per contest this year. Overall, they have conceded 1,761 rushing yards through 15 outings. Concerning passing yardage, the Broncos have conceded 2,953 yards which has them sitting in 6th in the National Football League. They are conceding 196.9 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.2%. In total, they have surrendered 314.3 yards per outing putting them 5th in the NFL. They have yielded 14 touchdowns through the air as well as 11 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Chiefs head into this matchup 12-3 for this season. In their last game, the Chiefs took home the win by a final score of 24-10 against the Seahawks. Isiah Pacheco carried the rock 14 times for 58 yards, ending the contest with 4.1 yards per attempt for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was a featured target for the Chiefs, hauling in 6 balls for 113 yds (18.8 yds per catch). Patrick Mahomes (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 224 yds on 16/28 through the air while his quarterback rate was 106.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0 yds. Kansas City allowed 31 rushing attempts for 133 yds (4.3 yards per rush). The Chiefs passing defense allowed a completion rate of 62.5%, relinquishing 200 yds on 25 out of 40 through the air. The Chiefs ended up finishing with 297 yards while running 51 plays (5.8 yds per play). Kansas City ended up running for 3.5 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 77 yds on 22 attempts.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Chiefs are sitting 2nd in the league maintaining an average of 29.2 points per game. Over the course of the season so far, the Chiefs have thrown for a total of 4,553 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 303.5 passing yards per game, putting them at 1st in the NFL. They hold an average of 117.1 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,756 yards in total. The Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 420.6 yards/game which ranks them 1st in football. The Kansas City offense has racked up 764 penalty yards on 77 violations, ranking them 25th in football in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 11 picks while letting opponents recover 10 fumbles and they have obtained 245 first downs.

They have conceded 31 touchdowns through the air and 225.7 yards/outing, which has them sitting 20th in the NFL. Kansas City has allowed a total of 1,607 rushing yards (107.1 yards per outing) and 8 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have totaled 16 turnovers (7 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions) so far this season. The Chiefs defense taken the field for 960 plays, which is good for 20th in football. Overall, they have given up 332 total points. The Chiefs are relinquishing 22.1 points per contest, which has them ranked 16th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs -13.5

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