Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 1/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, January 1, 2023

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40.5

The Cleveland Browns (6-9) are en route to FedExField on Sunday where they will take on the Washington Commanders (7-7-1). Cleveland opens this contest as 2.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 40.5.

The Cleveland Browns step onto the field holding a record of 6-9 for this season. When they last took the field, the Browns faced off with the Saints and took a loss by a final of 17-10. Deshaun Watson finished 15/31 with 135 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 47.1 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Amari Cooper had an average of 12.0 yds per catch by earning 72 yds on 6 receptions. Nick Chubb was the best rusher for the Browns with 24 attempts for 92 yards (3.8 yds per carry). Overall, they had 67 plays which gave them 249 yds. The Cleveland Browns ended up rushing 34 times and had 124 yds, which is an average of 3.6 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Browns conceded 152 yds on 39 attempts, which is 3.9 yards per run surrendered. Cleveland conceded 8 pass completions on 15 tries for 92 yds, and a completion rate of 53.3%.

The Browns currently have 5,326 total yards this season. Cleveland has accrued 164 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 90 penalties for 780 yds. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Cleveland has amassed 14 touchdowns through the air and 19 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 19 different times (10 picks and 9 fumbles). As a unit they're holding an average of 147.3 yards rushing which ranks them 5th in the NFL. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Cleveland Browns are sitting at 21.5 points per game.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Browns have conceded 3,023 yards which has them sitting in 8th in the league. They have given up 201.5 yards per contest via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 61.9%. In total, they are granting 335.9 yards per contest which ranks them 16th in the National Football League. They have yielded 19 touchdowns via the pass as well as 19 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.9 yards per rush on the ground and 134.3 yards on the ground per contest over the course of this season. Overall, they have conceded 2,015 yards via the ground game in 15 contests. The Browns are sitting in 22nd in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 22.9 PPG.

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The Commanders head into this game 7-7-1 this year. The last time they took the field, the Commanders took a loss by a score of 37-20 against the 49ers. Taylor Heinicke (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 166 yds on 13/18 through the air while his quarterback rate was 114.6. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.2 yards. Terry McLaurin was the best receiver for the Commanders, catching 4 throws for 77 yds (19.3 yards per reception). Brian Robinson Jr. carried the ball 22 times for 58 yds, ending the game with 2.6 yds per carry for Washington. The Commanders finished the game with 349 yds while running 69 plays (5.1 yds per play). Washington rushed the ball for 2.4 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 79 yds on 33 attempts. Washington conceded 26 run attempts for 153 yards (5.9 yds per rush). The Commanders pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 68.2%, relinquishing 218 yards on 15 out of 22 through the air.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Commanders are sitting 24th in football by scoring 19.0 points per outing. For the year to this point, the Commanders have thrown for a total of 3,190 yards through the air along with an average of 212.7 passing yards per contest, ranking them 19th in football. They hold an average of 123.7 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,856 yards for this year. The Washington Commanders average 336.4 yards per outing which has them sitting 19th in the NFL. The Washington offense has compiled 771 penalty yards on 85 violations, which is 15th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 12 interceptions while conceding 7 fumbles and they have been able to earn 169 1st downs.

They have allowed 22 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 198.6 yards per outing, which has them in 7th in the NFL. Washington has allowed the opposition a total of 1,716 rushing yards (114.4 yards per game) in addition to 10 touchdowns by ground this year. They have 16 takeaways (8 fumbles and 8 picks) for the season. The Commanders defense has participated in 879 plays, which ranks 2nd in football. This year, they have relinquished 313 total points. The Commanders are conceding 20.9 points per contest, ranking them 12th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Browns/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Browns +2.5

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