Cleveland Browns vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 10/2/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Cleveland Browns vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Cleveland Browns (2-1) are headed to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Falcons (1-2). Atlanta opens this matchup as 3-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 45.

The Cleveland Browns come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 for this year. In their last game, the Browns played against the Steelers and walked away with a win by a score of 29-17. Nick Chubb led the offense in rushing for the Browns with 23 carries for 113 yards (4.9 yds per carry). Amari Cooper had an average of 14.4 yds per catch by accumulating 101 yards on 7 catches. Jacoby Brissett went 21/31 with 220 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 109.6 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Against the run, the Browns gave up 104 yds on 22 attempts, which calculates to 4.7 yards per rush surrendered. Cleveland relinquished 20 pass completions on 32 tries for a total of 204 yds, and a completion percentage of 62.5%. When the final whistle blew, they had 71 plays which gave them 376 yards. The Cleveland Browns ended up rushing 38 times and totaled 171 yds, which had them averaging 4.5 yards per attempt.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Cleveland Browns are averaging 28.3 points per outing. As a team they average 190.7 yards on the ground which is 1st in the NFL. The Browns have earned 1,136 total yards this season. Cleveland has accumulated 34 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 19 penalties for 133 yds. They have turned the ball over 1 time (1 pick and 0 fumbles lost). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Cleveland has amassed 4 passing touchdowns and 5 touchdowns on the ground.

When talking about passing yardage, the Browns have conceded 720 yards which puts them in 18th in the NFL. They have surrendered 240.0 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 60.6%. Overall, they are conceding 323.7 yards per outing which ranks them 14th in the league. They have given up 5 touchdowns through the air in addition to 4 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 83.7 yards on the ground per game this year. Overall, they have given up 251 running yards through 3 games. The Browns rank 23rd in the National Football League in terms of team defense, conceding 24.0 PPG.

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The Falcons head into this matchup 1-2 for this season. When they last took the field, the Falcons took home the win by a final score of 27-23 when they faced the Seahawks. Marcus Mariota (1 touchdown) finished the game with 229 yards on 13/20 passing while his quarterback rate was 99.8. He had 1 interception and his Y/A was 11.5 yards. Cordarrelle Patterson ran the ball 17 times for 141 yards, ending the contest with 8.3 yards per carry for Atlanta. Kyle Pitts was a featured target for the Falcons, snagging 5 throws for 87 yds (17.4 yds per catch). Atlanta ran the football for 5.8 yards per attempt, totaling 179 yds on 31 attempts. The Falcons finished the contest with a total of 386 yards while running 54 plays (7.1 yds per play). The Falcons passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 72.7%, relinquishing 308 yds on 32 out of 44 passing. Atlanta conceded 23 attempts on the ground for 112 yds (4.9 yds per carry).

The Atlanta Falcons have an average of 354.3 yards per game which has them sitting 14th out of all teams in the NFL. They have an average of 156.7 run yards per game and have rushed for 470 yards in total. The Atlanta offense has totaled 99 yards of penalties on 15 infractions, which is 25th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 3 picks while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 32 first downs. For the year so far, the Falcons currently sit at 593 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 197.7 passing yards per game, ranking them 26th in the league. Concerning their ability to score points, the Falcons rank 9th in the league with 26.7 points per outing.

The Falcons are conceding 27.0 points per game, ranking them 27th in football. They have conceded 7 touchdowns from the passing game and 271.3 yards/outing, which has them ranked 27th out of all teams. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 81 total points. Atlanta has given up a total of 328 rushing yards (109.3 yards per outing) in addition to 2 touchdowns by ground this season. The Falcons defense has participated in 189 plays, which is good for 14th in football. They have compiled 5 takeaways (2 fumbles and 3 interceptions) this year.

Who will win tonight's Browns/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Browns -3

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