Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots Prediction, 12/24/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Date: Saturday, December 24, 2022

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 40

The Cincinnati Bengals (10-4) are on their way to Gillette Stadium on Saturday where they will try to beat the New England Patriots (7-7). Cincinnati opens this contest as 4-point favorites. The over/under is 40.

The Cincinnati Bengals step onto the field holding a record of 10-4 for this season. In their last contest, the Bengals faced the Buccaneers and earned the victory with a final of 34-23. Joe Burrow connected on 27/39 with 200 yds passing and 4 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 104.6 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Ja'Marr Chase left with an average of 8.6 yds per catch by accounting for 60 yds on 7 receptions. Samaje Perine led the offense in rushing for the Bengals with 7 totes for 24 yards (3.4 yds per attempt). At the end of the game, they tallied 62 plays which totaled 237 yards. The Cincinnati Bengals ended up running the ball 21 different times and amassed 53 yards, which had them averaging 2.5 yards per carry. In the running game, the Bengals conceded 92 yds on 25 tries, which calculates to 3.7 yards per run surrendered. Cincinnati relinquished 30 completions on 44 tries for 304 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.2%.

The Bengals have earned 5,069 total yards this year. Cincinnati has 191 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 70 infractions for 526 yds. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Cincinnati has earned 31 touchdowns through the air and 13 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 14 times (10 picks and 4 fumbles). As a unit they hold an average of 100.0 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 26th in the league. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Cincinnati Bengals have an average of 26.4 PPG.

Regarding passing yardage, the Bengals have conceded 3,165 yards which puts them in 21st in the NFL. They are giving up 226.1 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 60.0%. In total, they have given up 335.7 yards per outing which has them sitting 15th in the National Football League. They have surrendered 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 11 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.2 yards per run and 109.6 rushing yards per contest over the course of this season. During the season, they have given up 1,535 running yards through 14 contests. The Bengals are sitting in 11th in the league when it comes to team defense, allowing 20.6 PPG.

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The Patriots come into this game with a record of 7-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Patriots took a loss by a final score of 30-24 against the Raiders. Mac Jones finished the game with 112 yards on 13/31 passing while his quarterback rating was 52.1. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 3.6 yards. Jakobi Meyers was the best receiver for the Patriots, catching 2 balls for 47 yds (23.5 yds per catch). Rhamondre Stevenson carried the football 19 times for 172 yds, finishing the game with 9.1 yards per carry for New England. The Patriots ended up finishing with 318 yards on 63 plays (5.0 yds per play). New England ran the football for 6.4 yards per tote, finishing with 206 yards on 32 attempts. New England gave up 23 rush attempts for 97 yards (4.2 yards per rush). The Patriots passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 52.6%, surrendering 211 yds on 20 for 38 passing.

The New England Patriots have an average of 319.5 yards per outing which ranks them 25th in the league. They maintain an average of 112.0 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,568 yards for the year. The New England offense has compiled 700 penalty yards on 86 violations, which has them sitting 11th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 11 picks while losing 8 fumbles and they have obtained 135 first downs. For the year to this point, the Patriots have thrown for a total of 2,905 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 207.5 passing yards per game, which is ranked 23rd in the league. Concerning their ability to score points, the Patriots rank 17th in the NFL holding an average of 21.4 points per contest.

They have surrendered 20 touchdowns via the pass as well as 202.0 yards/contest, ranking them 9th in football. New England has surrendered a total of 1,544 rushing yards (110.3 yards per outing) and 6 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have totaled 22 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 14 interceptions) for the year. The Patriots defense has been on the field for 886 plays, which is 16th in the league. Overall, they have relinquished 269 total points. The Patriots are giving up 19.2 PPG, ranking them 7th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bengals/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots +4

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