Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 11/20/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, November 20, 2022

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-5)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Chicago Bears (3-7) are traveling to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the Atlanta Falcons (4-6). Chicago opens as 5-point dogs. The total is set at 48.

The Chicago Bears head into this game 3-7 this year. When they last took the field, the Bears took the field against the Lions and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-30. Justin Fields connected on 12/20 with 167 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 99.4 and walked away from the contest with 1 interception. Justin Fields was the leader on the ground for the Bears with 13 totes for 147 yds (11.3 yards per carry). Cole Kmet held an average of 18.5 yards per reception by accumulating 74 yards on 4 receptions. The Chicago Bears ran the rock 35 different times and had 258 yards, which had them averaging 7.4 yards per tote. When the final whistle blew, they ran 58 plays which gave them 408 yards. Chicago surrendered 19 pass completions on 26 attempts for 228 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.1%. In the running game, the Bears conceded 95 yards on 31 attempts, which calculates to 3.1 yds per run allowed.

The Bears have racked up 3,298 total yards this season. Chicago has 62 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 54 penalties for 511 yards. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Chicago has compiled 12 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 13 different times (7 picks and 6 fumbles lost). As a unit they maintain an average of 201.7 yards on the ground ranking them 1st in the NFL. In terms of scoring points, the Chicago Bears are sitting at 21.7 points per outing.

In terms of yards through the air, the Bears have surrendered 2,034 yards which puts them in 19th in the National Football League. They have allowed 203.4 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 66.7%. Overall, they are conceding 345.4 yards/game which has them sitting 15th in football. They have yielded 11 touchdowns by air as well as 17 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.7 yards per rush on the ground and 142.0 rushing yards per game this year. In total, they have conceded 1,420 rushing yards through 10 contests. The Bears rank 26th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 24.7 PPG.

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The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 4-6 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Falcons walked away with a loss by a score of 25-15 against the Panthers. Marcus Mariota carried the football 3 times for 43 yards, ending the contest with 14.3 yds per carry for Atlanta. Drake London was one of the featured targets for the Falcons, catching 5 passes for 38 yds (7.6 yards per reception). Marcus Mariota (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 186 yards on 19/30 through the air while his quarterback rating was 89. He threw 1 interception and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.2 yds. Atlanta conceded 47 running attempts for 232 yds (4.9 yards per rush). The Falcons pass defense conceded a completion rate of 62.5%, surrendering 101 yards on 10 out of 16 passing. The Falcons finished the contest with a total of 291 yds on 60 plays (4.9 yds per play). Atlanta rushed the football for 5.5 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 138 yds on 25 carries.

The Atlanta Falcons have an average of 317.2 yards/outing which ranks them 27th out of all teams in the NFL. They hold an average of 160.4 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,604 yards for the season. The Atlanta offense has racked up 347 yds of penalties on 43 infractions, which has them ranked 29th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 7 picks while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 89 first downs. During the season thus far, the Falcons have earned 1,568 passing yards along with holding an average of 156.8 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 30th in the league. In relation to putting points on the board, the Falcons sit 12th in football averaging 23.2 points per game.

The Falcons are allowing 25.0 points per contest, which puts them in 27th in football. They have yielded 15 touchdowns through the air in addition to 280.1 yards/contest, ranking them 32nd in the NFL. This season, they have allowed 250 points in total. Atlanta has surrendered a total of 1,194 yards via the ground game (119.4 yards/game) and 13 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Falcons defense has participated in 662 plays, which ranks them 30th in football. Their defense has 13 turnovers (5 fumbles recovered and 8 picks) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -5

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