Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 9/25/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, September 25, 2022

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (+5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

Hard Rock Stadium is where the Miami Dolphins (2-0) will try to defeat the Buffalo Bills (2-0) on Sunday. Miami opens as 5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 51.

The Buffalo Bills come into this game with a record of 2-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Bills played the Titans and took home the win by a score of 41-7. James Cook led the offense in rushing for the Bills with 11 totes for 53 yds (4.8 yards per carry). Stefon Diggs averaged 12.3 yds per catch by accumulating 148 yards on 12 catches. Josh Allen went 26/38 with 317 yds through the air and 4 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 128.9 and finished the game with no picks. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bills conceded 80 yards on 27 tries, which is 3.0 yds per rush surrendered. Buffalo surrendered 12 completions on 24 tries for 107 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. In the game, they tallied 65 plays which converted into 414 yards. The Buffalo Bills ran the ball a total of 24 times and amassed 101 yards, which earned them an average of 4.2 yards per carry.

The Bills have earned 827 total yards over the course of this season. Buffalo has compiled 28 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 13 infractions for 84 yds. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Buffalo has compiled 7 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 4 different times (2 interceptions and 2 fumbles). Offensively they're holding an average of 111.0 yards on the ground ranking them 14th in the league. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Buffalo Bills are averaging 36.0 points per game.

Regarding passing yards, the Bills have surrendered 298 yards which ranks them 2nd in the league. They have allowed 149.0 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 63.1%. During this campaign, they have yielded 215.0 yards per game which puts them 2nd in the NFL. They have granted 1 touchdown by air as well as 1 touchdown on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.9 yards per rush and 66.0 rushing yards per game this season. During this campaign, they have given up 132 yards on the ground through 2 outings. The Bills are sitting in 2nd in the league regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 8.5 PPG.

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The Dolphins come into this game with a record of 2-0 for this season. In their last game, the Dolphins went home victorious with a score of 42-38 against the Ravens. Raheem Mostert carried the ball 11 times for 51 yards, ending the contest with 4.6 yards per attempt for Miami. Tyreek Hill was featured in the passing game for the Dolphins, snagging 11 passes for 190 yds (17.3 yards per catch). Tua Tagovailoa (6 touchdowns) finished the game with 469 yards on 36/50 passing while his QB rating was 124.1. He had 2 interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 9.4 yards. Miami allowed 25 rush attempts for 155 yards (6.2 yards per carry). The Dolphins pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 72.4%, relinquishing 318 yards on 21 for 29 through the air. The Dolphins finished with a total of 547 yards while they ran 69 plays (7.9 yards per play). Miami ran for 4.8 yds per carry, totaling 86 yards on 18 carries.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Dolphins are ranked 6th in football with an average of 31.0 points per game. During the season to this point, the Dolphins have compiled 703 yards via the pass as well as an average of 351.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 1st out of all NFL teams. They maintain an average of 75.5 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 151 yards for this season. The Miami Dolphins have an average of 427.0 yards per outing which has them sitting 2nd in the league. The Miami offense has accrued 71 yds of penalties on 12 infractions, which ranks them 19th in football in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 2 picks while surrendering 0 fumbles and they have been able to earn 35 first downs.

They have given up 4 touchdowns through the air and 255.5 yards per outing, which has them in 23rd in the NFL. Miami has surrendered a total of 233 yards rushing (116.5 yards/game) in addition to 1 touchdown by way of the ground game this year. They have totaled 3 takeaways (2 fumbles and 1 pick) on the campaign. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 108 plays, which is 4th in the NFL. In total, they have relinquished 45 total points. The Dolphins are allowing 22.5 points per contest, ranking them 18th in football.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -5

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