Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 10/16/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, October 16, 2022

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) will take on the Buffalo Bills (4-1) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. Kansas City opens this contest as 2-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 53.5.

The Buffalo Bills come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 for this year. When they last took the field, the Bills faced the Steelers and walked away with a win by a score of 38-3. Josh Allen finished 20/31 with 424 yds passing and 4 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 134.1 and ended the game with 1 pick. Josh Allen was the leader on the ground for the Bills with 5 totes for 42 yds (8.4 yards per carry). Stefon Diggs had an average of 12.8 yds per reception by earning 102 yds on 8 catches. The Buffalo Bills ran the ball 18 different times and recorded 120 yards, which earned them an average of 6.7 yards per carry. In the game, they had 54 plays for 552 yards. Buffalo surrendered 34 pass completions on 52 tries for 310 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.4%. Against the rush, the Bills conceded 54 yards on 17 tries, which is 3.2 yds per rush allowed.

The Bills have attained 2,202 total yards for the year. Buffalo has a total of 78 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 29 infractions for 195 yards. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Buffalo has earned 14 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 9 times (4 picks and 5 fumbles lost). Offensively they are averaging 116.4 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 14th in the NFL. Concerning putting points on the board, the Buffalo Bills are sitting at 30.4 points per outing.

Regarding passing yards, the Bills have conceded 913 yards which puts them in 4th in the NFL. They are allowing 182.6 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 65.1%. During this campaign, they have allowed 260.4 yards per contest which puts them 2nd in the NFL. They have relinquished 3 touchdowns through the air as well as 4 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing 3.5 yards per rush and 77.8 rushing yards per game this year. In total, they have allowed 389 rushing yards through 5 games. The Bills sit in 1st in the NFL in terms of team defense, allowing 12.2 points per game.

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The Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 4-1 for this year. In their last contest, the Chiefs got the win with a final of 30-29 when they played the Raiders. Patrick Mahomes (4 TDs) finished the contest with 292 yds on 29/43 passing while his QB rating was 117.6. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.8 yards. Mecole Hardman was the top contributor in the passing game for the Chiefs, catching 4 balls for 73 yards (18.3 yards per reception). Jerick McKinnon ran the football 8 times for 53 yds, ending the game with 6.6 yards per attempt for Kansas City. The Chiefs finished the game with a total of 368 yds while they ran 69 plays (5.3 yds per play). Kansas City rushed the football for 4.5 yds per attempt, totaling 103 yards on 23 carries. Kansas City gave up 24 run attempts for 155 yds (6.5 yds per rush). The Chiefs secondary conceded a completion rate of 63.3%, relinquishing 223 yds on 19 for 30 passing.

When it comes to how much they score, the Chiefs currently sit 1st in football with 31.8 points per outing. During this campaign so far, the Chiefs have compiled 1,336 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 267.2 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 4th out of all NFL teams. They are averaging 114.2 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 571 yards for the year. The Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 381.4 yards/outing ranking them 6th in the NFL. The Kansas City offense has accrued 228 penalty yds on 24 violations, which is good for 27th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 2 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to record 80 first downs.

The Chiefs are relinquishing 25.0 PPG, which has them ranked 24th in the league. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns through the air and 255.6 yards/outing, which puts them in 24th in football. This year, they have conceded 125 points in total. Kansas City has conceded a total of 418 rushing yards (83.6 yards per game) and 3 touchdowns via the rush this year. The Chiefs defense has been on the field for 321 plays, which is good for 22nd in the NFL. Their defense has tallied 4 takeaways (3 fumbles and 1 interception) for the year.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs +2

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