Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/23/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds AFC Divisional Playoffs

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, January 23, 2022

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The Buffalo Bills (12-6) are en route to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Kansas City Chiefs (13-5) in an AFC Divisional playoff game. Kansas City is 2-point favorites. The betting total is set at 54.

The Buffalo Bills step onto the field holding a record of 12-6 for this season. In the Wild Card round, the Bills played against the Patriots and notched a win by a score of 47-17. Josh Allen went 21/25 with 308 yds passing and 5 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 157.6 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Dawson Knox averaged 17.8 yards per reception by accounting for 89 yards on 5 receptions. Devin Singletary led the offense in rushing for the Bills with 16 attempts for 81 yds (5.1 yds per carry). In the game, they ran 54 plays which totaled 482 yds. The Buffalo Bills ended up running the ball 29 times and totaled 174 yards, which came out to an average of 6.0 yards per tote. Against the run, the Bills conceded 89 yds on 20 attempts, which is 4.5 yards per rush surrendered. Buffalo allowed 24 pass completions on 38 tries for a total of 216 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.2%.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Buffalo Bills have an average of 28.4 points per game. As a team they have an average of 129.9 yards via the ground game which is 6th in the NFL. The Bills have earned 6,493 total yards this season. Buffalo has tallied 236 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 113 infractions for 980 yards. They have turned the football over 22 times (16 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Buffalo has compiled 36 touchdowns through the air and 20 rushing touchdowns.

The Bills rank 1st in the NFL in terms of team defense, conceding 17.0 points per contest. They are giving up 4.2 yards per tote and 109.8 rushing yards per game this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,866 yards on the ground through 17 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Bills have conceded 2,771 yards which has them sitting in 1st in football. They are conceding 163.0 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 56.0%. Over the course of this year, they are surrendering 272.8 yards per outing which has them sitting 1st in football. They have relinquished 12 touchdowns through the air as well as 19 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Chiefs come into this game with a record of 13-5 this season. In their Wild Card contest, the Chiefs took home the win by a final score of 42-21 against the Steelers. Jerick McKinnon carried the football 12 times for 61 yds, ending the game with 5.1 yards per carry for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was a featured target for the Chiefs, grabbing 5 passes for 108 yds (21.6 yds per catch). Patrick Mahomes (5 touchdowns) finished the game with 404 yds on 30/39 through the air while his quarterback rating was 138.2. He threw 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 10.36 yds. Kansas City gave up 20 run attempts for 56 yards (2.8 yds per rush). The Chiefs passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 65.9%, surrendering 201 yards on 29 out of 44 passing. The Chiefs finished the game with a total of 478 yards while they ran 65 plays (7.4 yds per play). Kansas City rushed the football for 4.8 yards per carry, totaling 106 yards on 22 attempts.

The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 396.8 yards/game which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have an average of 115.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,955 yards for the year. The Kansas City offense has compiled 925 yds of penalties on 111 violations, which is 8th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 13 interceptions while losing 12 fumbles and they have been able to tally 267 first downs. For the year so far, the Chiefs have thrown for 4,791 passing yards along with an average of 281.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 4th in the league. Regarding how much they score, the Chiefs are 4th in the league with 28.2 points per game.

The Chiefs are conceding 21.4 points per game, ranking them 8th in the NFL. Kansas City has allowed a total of 1,999 yards on the ground (117.6 yards per contest) as well as 15 touchdowns rushing this year. They have allowed the opposition 27 touchdowns through the air as well as 251.4 yards/outing, which has them in 27th out of all teams. The Chiefs defense has participated in 1,060 plays, which is good for 13th in the league. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 364 total points. Their defense has tallied 29 turnovers (14 fumbles recovered and 15 interceptions) this year.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bills +2

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