Buffalo Bills vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 12/24/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Chicago Bears

Date: Saturday, December 24, 2022

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 41

Soldier Field is where the Chicago Bears (3-11) will play the Buffalo Bills (11-3) on Saturday. Chicago opens this game as 9-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 41.

The Buffalo Bills step onto the field holding a record of 11-3 this year. In their last game, the Bills faced the Dolphins and earned the victory with a final of 32-29. Josh Allen finished 25/40 with 304 yds through the air and 4 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 119.2 and walked away from the game with no picks. Dawson Knox averaged 16.3 yds per reception by totaling 98 yds on 6 receptions. Josh Allen led the offense in rushing for the Bills with 10 carries for 77 yards (7.7 yds per attempt). Overall, they tallied 71 plays which gave them 446 yds. The Buffalo Bills ended up rushing 29 different times and compiled 150 yds, which came out to an average of 5.2 yards per carry. Against the run, the Bills conceded 188 yards on 25 tries, which is an average of 7.5 yards per run allowed. Buffalo conceded 17 completions on 30 attempts for a total of 217 yds, and a completion rate of 56.7%.

The Bills currently have 5,608 total yards for this campaign. Buffalo has amassed 193 first downs, and they have been hurt by 81 infractions for 617 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Buffalo has amassed 30 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 21 different times (11 picks and 10 fumbles lost). Offensively they average 134.9 yards on the ground which is 8th in the National Football League. Concerning scoring, the Buffalo Bills hold an average of 27.5 PPG.

The Bills are sitting in 2nd in the NFL in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 17.9 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 106.1 rushing yards per contest for the year. For the year, they have conceded 1,486 rushing yards through 14 outings. Concerning yards via the pass, the Bills have surrendered 3,070 yards which puts them in 19th in the National Football League. They have surrendered 219.3 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 63.3%. For the season, they are conceding 325.4 yards/outing which puts them 9th in the league. They have yielded 17 touchdowns via the pass as well as 10 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bears come into this matchup with a record of 3-11 this season. When they last took the field, the Bears took a loss by a score of 25-20 when they played the Eagles. Justin Fields ran the football 15 times for 95 yards, ending the contest with 6.3 yds per carry for Chicago. Byron Pringle was one of the featured targets for the Bears, bringing in 2 passes for 39 yards (19.5 yds per catch). Justin Fields (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 152 yards on 14/21 passing while his QB rate was 119.5. He didn't throw any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 7.2 yds. Chicago allowed 33 rush attempts for 112 yds (3.4 yds per carry). The Bears pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 59.5%, relinquishing 309 yards on 22 for 37 through the air. The Bears finished the contest with a total of 248 yds while running 58 plays (4.3 yards per play). Chicago ran for 5.2 yards per carry, finishing the game with 157 yds on 30 carries.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Bears are ranked 19th out of all teams in the league holding an average of 20.7 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Bears have thrown for a total of 1,919 yards through the air along with holding an average of 137.1 passing yards per contest, which ranks 32nd in the NFL. They hold an average of 186.9 run yards per game and have run for 2,616 yards for the season. The Chicago Bears are averaging 323.9 yards/game which is good for 23rd in football. The Chicago offense has compiled 670 yards of penalties on 73 infractions, which is good for 23rd in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 11 interceptions while conceding 8 fumbles and they have recorded 92 first downs.

The Bears are conceding 25.6 PPG, ranking them 30th in football. They have conceded 16 touchdowns through the air and 211.7 yards/outing, which has them sitting 15th out of all teams. This year, they have conceded 358 points in total. Chicago has conceded a total of 2,014 yards via the ground game (143.9 yards/game) in addition to 24 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Bears defense has been on the field for 844 plays, which is 6th in football. Their defense has tallied 18 takeaways (7 fumbles and 11 picks) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Bears NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Bears +9 and over 41 total points

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