Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 11/27/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, November 27, 2022

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 41.5

FedExField is the location where the Washington Commanders (6-5) will attempt to beat the Atlanta Falcons (5-6) on Sunday. Atlanta is 3-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 41.5.

The Atlanta Falcons head into this matchup 5-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Falcons faced off with the Bears and walked away with a win by a score of 27-24. Tyler Allgeier led the offense in rushing for the Falcons with 8 totes for 55 yds (6.9 yds per attempt). Kyle Pitts had an average of 14.3 yds per catch by earning 43 yds on 3 catches. Marcus Mariota went 13/20 with 131 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 100.2 and finished the game with no interceptions. When it came to stopping the run, the Falcons conceded 160 yards on 41 attempts, which averages out to 3.9 yds per run surrendered. Atlanta relinquished 14 completions on 21 tries for a total of 128 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. In all, they ran 53 plays which gave them a total of 280 yds. The Atlanta Falcons ran the rock 33 times and tallied 149 yards, which is an average of 4.5 yds per carry.

The Falcons have attained 3,452 total yards for the season. Atlanta has accrued 96 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 45 penalties for 360 yards. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Atlanta has earned 13 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 15 different times (7 interceptions and 8 fumbles lost). As a unit they have an average of 159.4 yards on the ground which ranks them 3rd in the NFL. When it comes to scoring points, the Atlanta Falcons have an average of 23.5 points per game.

The Falcons are ranked 28th in the National Football League when it comes to team defense, giving up 24.9 PPG. They are giving up 4.4 yards per run and 123.1 rushing yards per game this season. For the season, they have allowed 1,354 yards via the ground game in 11 contests. Regarding passing yards, the Falcons have conceded 2,929 yards which ranks them 32nd in the NFL. They have conceded 266.3 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 68.5%. In total, they have yielded 389.4 yards per contest ranking them 30th in the league. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns through the air in addition to 15 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Commanders come into this game with a record of 6-5 this year. In their last contest, the Commanders got the victory with a final of 23-10 when they faced the Texans. Antonio Gibson carried the ball 18 times for 72 yards, finishing the contest with 4.0 yds per carry for Washington. Logan Thomas was featured in the passing game for the Commanders, bringing in 5 balls for 65 yards (13.0 yds per catch). Taylor Heinicke finished the contest with 191 yards on 15/27 passing while his QB rating was 77.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.1 yards. Washington conceded 16 running attempts for 21 yds (1.3 yards per rush). The Commanders pass defense allowed a completion rate of 57.6%, relinquishing 127 yds on 19 out of 33 through the air. The Commanders finished the contest with a total of 344 yds on 67 plays (5.1 yards per play). Washington ran for 3.8 yds per carry, finishing with 153 yds on 40 carries.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Commanders currently sit 23rd out of all teams in football by tallying 19.5 points per contest. During the season thus far, the Commanders have compiled 2,308 passing yards along with holding an average of 209.8 passing yards per contest, which has them sitting 21st in the league. They average 116.1 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 1,277 yards overall. The Washington Commanders have an average of 325.9 yards/outing which is good for 23rd in the league. The Washington offense has accrued 597 penalty yds on 62 violations, which has them sitting 13th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 10 picks while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 120 1st downs.

The Commanders are allowing 20.3 points per contest, which has them sitting 12th of all teams in the league. They have given up 18 touchdowns via the pass as well as 204.9 yards per game, ranking them 12th in the NFL. Overall, they have relinquished 223 points in total. Washington has surrendered a total of 1,134 yards via the ground game (103.1 yards per game) and 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Commanders defense has been on the field for 646 plays, which ranks them 19th in the league. They have tallied 13 takeaways (7 fumbles and 6 picks) this season.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commanders -3

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