Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 12/18/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, December 18, 2022

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43

The New Orleans Saints (4-9) will try to defeat the Atlanta Falcons (5-8) at Caesars Superdome on Sunday. New Orleans opens this matchup as 3.5-point favorites. The total is set at 43.

The Atlanta Falcons head into this matchup 5-8 this season. In their last game, the Falcons faced off with the Steelers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 19-16. Cordarrelle Patterson was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 11 carries for 60 yards (5.5 yds per carry). Drake London had an average of 15.8 yards per reception by notching 95 yds on 6 catches. Marcus Mariota finished 13/24 with 167 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 72.7 and walked away from the contest with 1 interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Falcons gave up 154 yards on 37 tries, which is an average of 4.2 yds per run surrendered. Atlanta allowed 16 completions on 28 attempts for 197 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. In all, they ran 53 plays which converted into 306 yds. The Atlanta Falcons ran the football 28 times and amassed 146 yds, which is an average of 5.2 yds per carry.

The Falcons have attained 4,090 total yards for the season. Atlanta has amassed 111 first downs, and they have committed 53 infractions for 428 yards. In terms of scoring, Atlanta has amassed 15 touchdowns through the air and 12 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 17 times (9 picks and 8 fumbles lost). As a unit they're holding an average of 158.9 yards rushing ranking them 4th in the league. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Atlanta Falcons are averaging 22.2 points per contest.

The Falcons rank 23rd in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 24.0 PPG. They are allowing an average of 4.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 129.5 rushing yards per game for the year. In total, they have allowed 1,684 rushing yards through 13 outings. When talking about passing yards, the Falcons have given up 3,264 yards which puts them in 27th in the league. They are giving up 251.1 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 67.4%. In total, they have surrendered 380.6 yards/outing putting them 30th in the league. They have surrendered 19 touchdowns by air in addition to 15 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Saints come into this matchup with a record of 4-9 for this season. In their last game, the Saints went home defeated by a final of 17-16 against the Buccaneers. Andy Dalton (1 TD) finished the game with 229 yds on 20/28 through the air while his quarterback rate was 107.6. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 8.2 yds. Chris Olave was featured in the passing game for the Saints, grabbing 4 passes for 65 yds (16.3 yards per reception). Alvin Kamara carried the football 12 times for 26 yards, finishing the contest with 2.2 yds per carry for New Orleans. The Saints finished the contest with 298 yds while running 56 plays (5.3 yds per play). New Orleans ran the ball for 2.6 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 66 yards on 25 attempts. New Orleans relinquished 20 rush attempts for 76 yards (3.8 yards per rush). The Saints passing defense allowed a completion rate of 66.7%, relinquishing 274 yards on 36 out of 54 through the air.

In terms of how much they score, the Saints are ranking 21st out of all teams in the league maintaining an average of 20.4 points per game. For the season thus far, the Saints have racked up 3,041 yards through the air in addition to an average of 233.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 11th in the NFL. They are averaging 109.5 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,424 yards in total. The New Orleans Saints hold an average of 343.5 yards per game which has them ranked 16th out of all teams in the NFL. The New Orleans offense has accrued 745 yds of penalties on 86 infractions, which is good for 5th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 12 picks while conceding 9 fumbles and they have tallied 148 1st downs.

The Saints are conceding 22.8 PPG, which has them in 17th in football. They have allowed 16 touchdowns through the air in addition to 203.2 yards/game, which puts them in 10th in the league. Over the course of the season, they have given up 297 total points. New Orleans has surrendered a total of 1,625 yards via the ground game (125.0 yards/game) as well as 11 touchdowns by ground for the season. The Saints defense taken the field for 829 plays, which ranks 19th in the NFL. Their defense has totaled 9 turnovers (6 fumbles recovered and 3 picks) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +3.5

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