Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 4

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The New England Patriots (1-2) are welcoming the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. Tampa Bay opens as 6.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 48.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Buccaneers faced the Rams and ended up losing by a score of 34-24. Tom Brady went 41/55 with 432 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 103 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. Mike Evans had an average of 13.3 yds per reception by recording 106 yds on 8 catches. Ronald Jones II was the best rusher for the Buccaneers with 5 carries for 11 yards (2.2 yards per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they ran 71 plays which gave them 446 yds. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers rushed the ball a total of 13 different times and accounted for 35 yds, which earned them an average of 2.7 yards per attempt. In the running game, the Buccaneers conceded 76 yds on 24 attempts, which calculates to 3.2 yards per rush allowed. Tampa Bay allowed 27 completions on 38 tries for a total of 331 yds, and a completion rate of 71.1%.

Concerning getting in the endzone, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an average of 34.3 points per outing. As a unit they average 56.3 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 31st in the league. The Buccaneers have racked up 1,218 total yards for the year. Tampa Bay has earned 60 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 27 penalties for 230 yards. They have turned the football over 5 different times (2 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Tampa Bay has earned 10 touchdowns through the air and 2 touchdowns via the ground.

When it comes to passing yards, the Buccaneers have conceded 1,015 yards which puts them in 32nd in football. They have conceded 338.3 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 72.2%. During the season, they have yielded 402.0 yards per game which has them ranked 27th in the National Football League. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground. They are allowing an average of 3.1 yards per running attempt and 63.7 rushing yards per contest for the year. In total, they have allowed 191 rushing yards through 3 contests. The Buccaneers sit in 27th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, giving up 29.3 points per game.

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The Patriots come into this game with a record of 1-2 for this year. The last time they took the gridiron, the Patriots took a defeat with a final score of 28-13 against the Saints. Damien Harris ran the ball 6 times for 14 yards, walking away from the game with 2.3 yards per carry for New England. Jakobi Meyers was a featured target for the Patriots, catching 9 balls for 94 yards (10.4 yards per catch). Mac Jones (1 TD) ended the game with 270 yards on 30/51 passing while his quarterback rating was 55.2. He tossed 3 picks and his longest completion was 31 yards. New England surrendered 38 rush attempts for 142 yards (3.7 yds per carry). The Patriots secondary allowed a completion rate of 61.9%, surrendering 110 yds on 13 for 21 passing. The Patriots finished the contest with 300 yards and they ran 70 plays (4.3 yds per play). New England rushed for 2.9 yds per attempt, finishing with 49 yards on 17 attempts.

The New England Patriots average 317.7 yards/contest which ranks them 22nd in the league. They are averaging 91.7 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 275 yards for the year. The New England offense has racked up 168 penalty yards on 18 violations, which ranks them 23rd in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 3 interceptions while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 33 1st downs. For the season thus far, the Patriots have thrown for a total of 678 yards through the air together with holding an average of 226.0 passing yards per game, which ranks 20th out of all NFL teams. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Patriots currently rank 26th in football with 18.0 points per contest.

The Patriots are conceding 17.0 PPG, which puts them in 5th of all teams in the NFL. New England has allowed a total of 368 rushing yards (122.7 yards per game) and 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns from the passing game and 159.7 yards per game, ranking them 2nd in the league. The Patriots defense has participated in 182 plays, which is good for 11th in the league. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 51 total points. Their defense has earned 5 turnovers (5 picks) for the season.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buccaneers -6.5

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