Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 12/5/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Tips Week 13

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, December 5, 2021

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+11.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the location where the Atlanta Falcons (5-6) will meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) on Sunday. Tampa Bay opens this game as 11.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 50.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers step onto the field holding a record of 8-3 this season. In their last contest, the Buccaneers faced the Colts and earned the victory with a final of 38-31. Tom Brady went 25/34 with 226 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 88.6 and ended the game with 1 interception. Leonard Fournette was the best rusher for the Buccaneers with 17 attempts for 100 yds (5.9 yds per carry). Rob Gronkowski averaged 17.6 yds per catch by notching 123 yards on 7 catches. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran the ball a total of 27 times and compiled 142 yards, earning them an average of 5.3 yards per tote. Overall, they had 63 plays which gave them a total of 359 yards. Tampa Bay surrendered 27 completions on 44 attempts for a total of 285 yds, and a completion percentage of 61.4%. On the ground, the Buccaneers gave up 107 yds on 20 tries, which is 5.4 yards per run allowed.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting at 31.5 PPG. As a team they are averaging 95.8 yards on the ground which has them sitting 23rd in the league. The Buccaneers have racked up 4,419 total yards this season. Tampa Bay has 177 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 75 penalties for 706 yds. They have surrendered the football 15 times (9 picks and 6 fumbles). With reference to scoring touchdowns, Tampa Bay has compiled 30 touchdowns through the air and 12 rushing touchdowns.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Buccaneers have allowed 2,722 yards which has them sitting in 18th in the league. They are conceding 247.5 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 67.7%. Over the course of this year, they are granting 328.5 yards per game ranking them 8th in the NFL. They have surrendered 21 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are giving up an average of 3.9 yards per running attempt and 81.0 rushing yards per game this season. In total, they have conceded 891 running yards through 11 games. The Buccaneers rank 16th in the NFL concerning team defense, conceding 23.0 points per contest.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 5-6 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Falcons took home the win by a final score of 21-14 against the Jaguars. Matt Ryan (1 touchdown) finished the game with 190 yds on 19/29 through the air while his quarterback rate was 81.1. He had 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 6.55 yds. Russell Gage was one of the featured targets for the Falcons, hauling in 6 balls for 62 yards (10.3 yds per reception). Cordarrelle Patterson carried the rock 16 times for 108 yards, finishing the contest with 6.8 yds per attempt for Atlanta. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 332 yards while running 59 plays (5.6 yards per play). Atlanta ended up running for 5.1 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 149 yds on 29 attempts. Atlanta surrendered 28 running attempts for 141 yds (5.0 yds per carry). The Falcons passing defense gave up a completion rate of 54.8%, relinquishing 216 yards on 23 out of 42 passing.

The Atlanta Falcons maintain an average of 310.5 yards/game which is good for 26th out of all teams in the league. They have an average of 85.0 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 935 yards for the season. The Atlanta offense has totaled 537 yds of penalties on 65 infractions, which is 22nd in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 14 picks while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 136 first downs. During this campaign thus far, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 2,480 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 225.5 passing yards per outing, which ranks 19th in the league. When it comes to how much they score, the Falcons are sitting 28th out of all teams in the NFL averaging 18.1 points per outing.

Atlanta has conceded a total of 1,374 yards via the ground game (124.9 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. They have given up 21 touchdowns through the air as well as 236.9 yards/contest, which has them ranked 14th in the NFL. Their defense has earned 11 takeaways (6 fumbles and 5 interceptions) on the season. This season, they have given up 302 points in total. The Falcons defense has participated in 718 plays, which is good for 19th in the league. The Falcons are giving up 27.5 PPG, ranking them 31st in football.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +11.5

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