Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 9/12/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 1

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, September 12, 2021

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Highmark Stadium is where the Buffalo Bills (13-3-0 last year) will meet the Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4-0 last season) on Sunday. Pittsburgh opens this contest as 6.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 52.5.

The Pittsburgh Steelers wrapped up their year holding a 12-4-0 record. In their last contest, the Steelers went up against the Browns and took a loss by a final of 48-37. Ben Roethlisberger went 47/68 with 501 yds passing and 4 TDs. He had a QB rate of 85.5 and finished the contest with 4 interceptions. JuJu Smith-Schuster averaged 12.1 yds per reception by recording 157 yards on 13 catches. James Conner was the leader on the ground for the Steelers with 11 carries for 37 yds (3.4 yds per attempt). At the end of the game, they tallied 84 plays which totaled 553 yds. The Pittsburgh Steelers ran the ball a total of 16 different times and amassed 52 yds, which came out to an average of 3.3 yards per carry. Against the run, the Steelers conceded 127 yards on 31 tries, which is an average of 4.1 yards per run surrendered. Pittsburgh surrendered 21 completions on 34 tries for 263 yds, and a completion rate of 61.8%.

The Steelers earned 5,354 total yards over the course of last year. They gave the ball to the opposition 18 times (11 picks and 7 fumbles). Pittsburgh totaled 35 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns on the ground. Pittsburgh amassed 206 1st downs as a unit, and they committed 81 infractions for 691 yds. As a unit they averaged 84.4 yds on the ground, ranking them 32nd in the league. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Pittsburgh Steelers were sitting at 26.0 points per outing.

Concerning passing yards, the Steelers conceded 3,110 yards which had them ranked 3rd in the league. In their 16 games played last year, they relinquished 194.4 yards per contest through the air and surrendering a completion percentage of 56.7%. They gave up 305.8 yards per game which put them 3rd in the NFL. They surrendered 22 passing touchdowns and 13 touchdowns via the ground game. They gave up an average of 4.3 yards per tote and 111.4 yards on the ground per game for the previous season. Over the course of last year, they conceded 1,783 yards via the running game in 16 games. The Steelers were ranked 3rd in the league in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 19.5 points per game.

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The Bills wrapped up their season with a 13-3-0 mark. When they last stepped on the field, the Bills took a loss by a score of 38-24 when they played the Chiefs. Josh Allen (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 287 yards on 28/48 passing while his quarterback rating was 80.8. He had 1 interception and his longest completion was 34 yds. Cole Beasley had the best day in terms of receiving for the Bills, snagging 7 passes for 88 yds (12.6 yds per catch). Josh Allen carried the football 7 times for 88 yds, ending the game with 12.6 yards per carry for Buffalo. The Bills ended up finishing with 363 yards and they ran 70 plays (5.2 yards per play). Buffalo ran the ball for 7.2 yds per carry, finishing the game with 129 yards on 18 attempts. Buffalo relinquished 25 run attempts for 114 yds (4.6 yards per carry). The Bills secondary gave up a completion percentage of 76.3%, surrendering 325 yards on 29 for 38 through the air.

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Bills sat 2nd in football averaging 31.3 points per contest. Last season, the Bills compiled 4,620 passing yards together with an average of 288.8 passing yards per contest, putting them at 3rd in the NFL. They averaged 107.7 yards per game via the ground game and toted the ball for 1,723 yards overall. The Buffalo Bills maintained an average of 396.4 yards/contest which had them sitting 2nd in the NFL. The Buffalo offense totaled 941 penalty yds on 102 violations, which was good for 6th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They threw 11 picks while conceding 11 fumbles and they recorded 240 first downs.

The Bills gave up 23.4 points per game, which had them ranked 16th in the league. Over the course of the season, they allowed 375 total points. Buffalo gave up a total of 1,914 rushing yards (119.6 yards per outing) in addition to 21 touchdowns via the rush over the course of last year. They allowed 23 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 232.9 yards/game, which had them ranked 13th in the NFL. The Bills defense was on the field for 1,025 plays, which had them ranked 17th in the league. Their defense had 26 turnovers (11 fumbles and 15 picks) in the prior season.

Who will win tonight's Steelers/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Pittsburgh +6.5

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