New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 12/19/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, December 19, 2021

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Miami Dolphins (6-7) will try to beat the New York Jets (3-10) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. New York opens as 8.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 45.5.

The New York Jets come into this matchup with a record of 3-10 for this season. In their last contest, the Jets stepped onto the field against the Saints and went home with a loss by a final score of 30-9. Zach Wilson went 19/42 with 202 yds through the air. He had a QB rating of 59.8 and walked away from the contest with no picks. Braxton Berrios held an average of 8.7 yards per catch by earning 52 yds on 6 catches. La'Mical Perine was the leader on the ground for the Jets with 7 totes for 28 yds (4.0 yards per carry). In the game, they ran 62 plays which gave them 256 yds. The New York Jets ran the football 17 different times and accrued 78 yards, which came out to an average of 4.6 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Jets conceded 203 yards on 44 tries, which averages out to 4.6 yards per rush surrendered. New York gave up 15 pass completions on 21 tries for a total of 141 yds, and a completion percentage of 71.4%.

The Jets have attained 4,180 total yards over the course of this season. New York has amassed 163 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 87 penalties for 706 yards. When it comes to scoring, New York has amassed 17 passing touchdowns and 9 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 25 times (20 picks and 5 fumbles lost). Offensively they're holding an average of 84.2 yards via the ground game which ranks them 30th in the NFL. When talking about scoring points, the New York Jets have an average of 17.4 points per game.

The Jets are ranked 32nd in the NFL when it comes to team defense, giving up 30.5 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground and 138.8 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. Overall, they have given up 1,804 rushing yards through 13 games. In terms of yards via the pass, the Jets have allowed 3,302 yards which has them sitting in 27th in the NFL. They have allowed 254.0 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 70.6%. For the season, they are conceding 392.8 yards per game putting them at 31st in the league. They have surrendered 21 touchdowns via the pass as well as 24 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Dolphins step onto the field holding a record of 6-7 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Dolphins took home the win by a final score of 20-9 when they played the Giants. Myles Gaskin carried the ball 15 times for 44 yards, ending the contest with 2.9 yards per carry for Miami. Jaylen Waddle had the best day in terms of receiving for the Dolphins, hauling in 9 balls for 90 yds (10.0 yards per reception). Tua Tagovailoa (2 TDs) ended the contest with 244 yds on 30/41 passing while his QB rate was 104.1. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 5.95 yds. Miami conceded 17 rush attempts for 91 yards (5.4 yards per carry). The Dolphins passing defense gave up a completion rate of 52.3%, relinquishing 159 yds on 23 out of 44 passing. The Dolphins finished the game with 297 yards and they ran 68 plays (4.4 yards per play). Miami ran the ball for 2.7 yards per attempt, totaling 68 yards on 25 carries.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Dolphins rank 25th in football averaging 19.5 points per game. For the year so far, the Dolphins have thrown for a total of 2,997 passing yards along with holding an average of 230.5 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 16th in the NFL. They average 79.2 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,030 yards in total. The Miami Dolphins hold an average of 309.8 yards/outing which is good for 29th out of all teams in the league. The Miami offense has racked up 627 penalty yds on 83 violations, which ranks 16th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 10 interceptions while conceding 10 fumbles and they have recorded 168 1st downs.

The Dolphins are surrendering 22.2 points per game, which has them ranked 13th of all teams in the NFL. Miami has surrendered a total of 1,350 yards on the ground (103.8 yards/game) in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground for the season. They have allowed 20 touchdowns through the air in addition to 254.5 yards/game, which has them ranked 28th in the NFL. The Dolphins defense has participated in 858 plays, which is good for 28th in football. In total, they have relinquished 288 points in total. Their defense has totaled 20 takeaways (9 fumbles recovered and 11 interceptions) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Jets/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jets +8.5

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