New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots Prediction, 9/26/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 3

Game: New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, September 26, 2021

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The New Orleans Saints (1-1) are traveling to Gillette Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the New England Patriots (1-1). New England opens this contest as 3-point favorites. The betting total is set at 46.5.

The New Orleans Saints come into this game with a record of 1-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Saints went up against the Panthers and ended up losing by a score of 26-7. Jameis Winston went 11/22 with 111 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 26.9 and finished the contest with 2 picks. Taysom Hill was the rushing leader for the Saints with 2 attempts for 16 yds (8.0 yards per carry). Alvin Kamara held an average of 6.3 yds per catch by totaling 25 yds on 4 catches. The New Orleans Saints ran the ball a total of 17 different times and accumulated 48 yards, which had them averaging 2.8 yards per attempt. On the day, they had 43 plays which gave them a total of 128 yards. New Orleans conceded 26 completions on 38 tries for 294 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.4%. Against the run, the Saints gave up 89 yds on 34 attempts, which is an average of 2.6 yds per run surrendered.

In terms of scoring points, the New Orleans Saints are sitting at 22.5 PPG. As a unit they maintain an average of 109.5 yards on the ground ranking them 17th in the NFL. The Saints have earned 450 yards in total for the year. New Orleans has accrued 13 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 17 penalties for 151 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 different times (2 picks).

The Saints are sitting in 6th in the league when it comes to team defense, allowing 14.5 points per game. The opposition is running for 2.7 yards per running attempt and 66.0 yards on the ground per contest over the course of this year. Overall, they have allowed 132 running yards through 2 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Saints have given up 480 yards which puts them in 13th in the league. They have surrendered 240.0 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 63.0%. In total, they are allowing 306.0 yards per outing which puts them 7th in the NFL.

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The Patriots head into this game 1-1 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Patriots took home the win by a final score of 25-6 when they played the Jets. Damien Harris carried the rock 16 times for 62 yards, finishing the contest with 3.9 yards per carry for New England. James White was the best receiver for the Patriots, hauling in 6 passes for 45 yards (7.5 yards per catch). Mac Jones finished the game with 186 yards on 22/30 through the air while his quarterback rating was 89. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his longest completion was 32 yards. New England surrendered 31 run attempts for 152 yds (4.9 yds per carry). The Patriots secondary gave up a completion percentage of 57.6%, surrendering 184 yards on 19 out of 33 passing. The Patriots finished with a total of 256 yards while they ran 57 plays (4.5 yards per play). New England rushed the football for 4.2 yards per carry, finishing the game with 101 yds on 24 attempts.

The New England Patriots maintain an average of 324.5 yards per contest ranking them 23rd in football. They hold an average of 113.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 226 yards overall. The New England offense has accrued 138 yds of penalties on 14 violations, which is good for 17th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 2 fumbles and they have tallied 23 1st downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Patriots have compiled 423 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 211.5 passing yards per contest, ranking them 26th in the league. In relation to how much they score, the Patriots currently sit 23rd in football holding an average of 20.5 points per outing.

The Patriots are conceding 11.5 points per game, which has them ranked 3rd of all teams in the league. New England has conceded a total of 226 yards rushing (113.0 yards per outing) and 1 touchdown by way of the ground game for the season. They have surrendered 1 touchdown through the air and 184.5 yards per game, ranking them 6th in the league. The Patriots defense taken the field for 120 plays, which ranks 10th in the league. This season, they have allowed 23 points in total. Their defense has earned 5 turnovers (5 picks) this year.

Who will win tonight's Saints/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Saints +3

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