New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 12/18/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Saturday, December 18, 2021

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

The Indianapolis Colts (7-6) will go up against the New England Patriots (9-4) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday. New England opens as 2-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 42.5.

The New England Patriots head into this matchup 9-4 for this year. In their last contest, the Patriots took on the Bills and earned the victory with a final of 14-10. Mac Jones went 2/3 passing in the game. Damien Harris led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 10 attempts for 111 yards (11.1 yds per attempt). Jonnu Smith held an average of 12.0 yds per reception by totaling 12 yds on 1 catch. The New England Patriots ended up running the ball 46 different times and accrued 222 yds, which had them averaging 4.8 yards per attempt. Overall, they had 49 plays which totaled 241 yards. New England relinquished 15 pass completions on 30 tries for 131 yds, and a completion rate of 50.0%. Against the run, the Patriots conceded 99 yards on 25 attempts, which calculates to 4.0 yds per rush allowed.

The Patriots have attained 4,505 total yards for the season. New England has accumulated 142 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 73 infractions for 666 yds. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, New England has earned 18 touchdowns through the air and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 16 times (8 picks and 8 fumbles). As a unit they have an average of 123.5 yards via the ground game ranking them 10th in the league. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the New England Patriots are averaging 26.9 points per game.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Patriots have surrendered 2,542 yards which has them sitting in 4th in the NFL. They have conceded 195.5 yards per contest via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 58.6%. For the season, they are giving up 310.0 yards/game putting them at 3rd in the NFL. They have yielded 15 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per run and 114.5 rushing yards per game for the year. Over the course of this year, they have given up 1,488 yards via the running game in 13 games. The Patriots are ranked 1st in the league in terms of team defense, giving up 15.4 points per contest.

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The Colts come into this matchup with a record of 7-6 this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Colts walked away with a victory by a final of 31-0 when they played the Texans. Jonathan Taylor carried the rock 32 times for 143 yds, ending the game with 4.5 yards per attempt for Indianapolis. Michael Pittman Jr. was a featured target for the Colts, snagging 6 passes for 77 yds (12.8 yds per catch). Carson Wentz (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 158 yards on 16/22 passing while his QB rate was 107.8. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.18 yds. Indianapolis allowed 19 attempts on the ground for 84 yds (4.4 yds per carry). The Colts passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 40.7%, relinquishing 57 yards on 11 out of 27 passing. The Colts finished the game with 389 yds while they ran 71 plays (5.5 yards per play). Indianapolis ran the ball for 5.0 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 238 yds on 48 attempts.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Colts are ranked 4th in the NFL averaging 28.5 points per outing. For the year thus far, the Colts have racked up 2,813 yards through the air together with holding an average of 216.4 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 21st in the league. They are averaging 151.7 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,972 yards for this season. The Indianapolis Colts maintain an average of 368.1 yards per contest which has them sitting 11th out of all teams in the league. The Indianapolis offense has totaled 558 yards of penalties on 62 violations, which has them ranked 29th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 6 interceptions while letting opponents recover 10 fumbles and they have been able to tally 139 first downs.

Indianapolis has surrendered a total of 1,454 yards rushing (111.8 yards/game) as well as 8 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have conceded 26 touchdowns through the air in addition to 230.2 yards/outing, which has them ranked 12th in the league. They have tallied 29 takeaways (14 fumbles recovered and 15 interceptions) this year. In total, they have allowed 283 total points. The Colts defense has been on the field for 796 plays, which is good for 11th in the NFL. The Colts are giving up 21.8 points per game, which has them ranked 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Colts -2 and over 42.5 total points

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