New England Patriots vs Houston Texans Prediction, 10/10/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 5

Game: New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, October 10, 2021

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

The Houston Texans (1-3) will go up against the New England Patriots (1-3) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Houston opens this game as 9-point dogs. The total has been set at 42.5.

The New England Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 for this year. In their last game, the Patriots took on the Buccaneers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 19-17. Damien Harris was the best rusher for the Patriots with 4 carries for -4 yards (-1.0 yds per carry). Jakobi Meyers had an average of 8.8 yds per catch by accumulating 70 yds on 8 receptions. Mac Jones finished 31/40 with 275 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 101.6 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Against the run, the Patriots gave up 119 yds on 30 attempts, which calculates to 4.0 yds per run surrendered. New England surrendered 22 completions on 43 tries for 261 yds, and a completion percentage of 51.2%. Overall, they ran 54 plays for 294 yds. The New England Patriots ran the football 8 times and amassed -1 yds, which had them averaging -0.1 yds per attempt.

The Patriots have earned 1,247 total yards this season. New England has compiled 49 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 25 infractions for 230 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New England has earned 4 passing touchdowns and 2 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 7 different times (4 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). As a team they average 68.5 yards on the ground which ranks them 31st in the league. Concerning scoring, the New England Patriots hold an average of 17.8 points per game.

The Patriots are sitting in 6th in the league concerning team defense, giving up 17.5 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.0 yards per rush and 121.8 rushing yards per game for the year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 487 rushing yards through 4 games. Concerning yards via the pass, the Patriots have conceded 740 yards which ranks them 4th in the NFL. They are giving up 185.0 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 56.5%. Overall, they have yielded 306.8 yards/outing which puts them 5th in the NFL. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns by air in addition to 3 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Texans come into this game with a record of 1-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Texans took a loss by a score of 40-0 when they faced the Bills. Davis Mills ended the game with 87 yards on 11/21 through the air while his QB rate was 23.4. He tossed 4 picks and his longest pass completion went for 16 yards. Brandin Cooks had the best day in terms of receiving for the Texans, grabbing 5 balls for 47 yds (9.4 yards per catch). Mark Ingram carried the rock 6 times for 24 yards, ending the contest with 4.0 yds per carry for Houston. The Texans finished the contest with a total of 109 yards while they ran 42 plays (2.6 yds per play). Houston rushed for 2.7 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 48 yards on 18 carries. Houston gave up 40 attempts on the ground for 199 yards (5.0 yds per carry). The Texans secondary gave up a completion percentage of 70.0%, surrendering 251 yds on 21 out of 30 through the air.

The Houston Texans maintain an average of 263.3 yards/outing ranking them 30th in football. They maintain an average of 83.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 332 yards for this year. The Houston offense has compiled 279 yds of penalties on 31 violations, which is 4th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 5 picks while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have tallied 37 first downs. During this campaign to this point, the Texans have thrown for a total of 721 yards via the pass as well as an average of 180.3 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 29th out of all NFL teams. Regarding their ability to score points, the Texans are sitting 29th in the league averaging 16.8 points per outing.

Houston has allowed the opposition a total of 548 yards rushing (137.0 yards per contest) as well as 8 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 264.8 yards per outing, ranking them 22nd in football. Their defense has compiled 6 turnovers (1 fumble and 5 picks) so far this season. This season, they have given up 116 total points. The Texans defense has taken part in 266 plays, which has them sitting 25th in the NFL. The Texans are relinquishing 29.0 points per game, ranking them 28th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots -9

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