Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 10/10/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 5

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, October 10, 2021

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Buccaneers (-10)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

Raymond James Stadium is where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) will go up against the Miami Dolphins (1-3) on Sunday. Tampa Bay opens this contest as 10-point favorites. The over/under is 49.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 1-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Dolphins went up against the Colts and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-17. Jacoby Brissett finished 20/30 with 199 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 107.5 and finished the game with no picks. Malcolm Brown led the offense in rushing for the Dolphins with 8 totes for 23 yards (2.9 yards per carry). DeVante Parker held an average of 19.3 yds per reception by notching 77 yds on 4 receptions. The Miami Dolphins rushed the ball a total of 16 times and totaled 35 yds, which earned them an average of 2.2 yds per attempt. In all, they had 49 plays for 203 yards. Miami surrendered 24 pass completions on 32 attempts for a total of 210 yds, and a completion rate of 75.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins conceded 139 yds on 33 attempts, which averages out to 4.2 yds per run allowed.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins are averaging 15.5 points per game. As a unit they maintain an average of 78.3 yards on the ground ranking this team at 28th in the NFL. The Dolphins currently have 1,008 total yards this year. Miami has accounted for 41 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 28 penalties for 226 yds. They have surrendered the ball 6 times (2 interceptions and 4 fumbles lost). With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Miami has totaled 3 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns.

The Dolphins are sitting in 25th in the NFL when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 27.3 points per game. They are allowing an average of 4.3 yards per run and 136.8 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. For the season, they have conceded 547 rushing yards through 4 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Dolphins have surrendered 1,006 yards which ranks them 17th in the NFL. They are giving up 251.5 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 65.3%. In total, they have allowed 388.3 yards/outing which puts them 24th in football. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 5 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Buccaneers come into this game with a record of 3-1 this season. In their last game, the Buccaneers took home the win by a final score of 19-17 when they played the Patriots. Tom Brady finished the game with 269 yards on 22/43 through the air while his quarterback rate was 70.8. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his longest completion was 28 yards. Mike Evans was the top contributor in the passing game for the Buccaneers, snagging 7 footballs for 75 yards (10.7 yards per catch). Leonard Fournette ran the ball 20 times for 91 yards, finishing the contest with 4.6 yds per carry for Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers finished with 380 yds and they ran 74 plays (5.1 yds per play). Tampa Bay ran for 4.0 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 119 yards on 30 carries. Tampa Bay relinquished 8 run attempts for -1 yds (-0.1 yards per carry). The Buccaneers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 78.6%, surrendering 295 yds on 33 out of 42 passing.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers maintain an average of 399.5 yards per outing which ranks them 7th in football. They are averaging 72.0 yards per game via the rush and have run for 288 yards in total. The Tampa Bay offense has 294 penalty yds on 33 violations, which is good for 2nd in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 2 picks while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 72 first downs. For the season so far, the Buccaneers currently sit at 1,310 passing yards as well as holding an average of 327.5 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 1st in the league. Regarding their ability to score points, the Buccaneers are sitting 5th out of all teams in football with 30.5 points per outing.

The Buccaneers are conceding 26.3 points per game, which has them sitting 23rd of all teams in the league. Tampa Bay has given up a total of 190 yards via the ground game (47.5 yards per outing) in addition to 1 touchdown rushing for the season. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns from the passing game and 327.5 yards per game, which has them in 32nd in the league. The Buccaneers defense has been on the field for 263 plays, which ranks them 23rd in football. In total, they have surrendered 105 points in total. Their defense has tallied 6 takeaways (1 fumble and 5 picks) so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins +10

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