Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Prediction, 12/26/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, December 26, 2021

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+11)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Houston Texans (3-11) will try to beat the Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Houston opens this matchup as 11-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is 47.5.

The Los Angeles Chargers head into this matchup 8-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Chargers played the Chiefs and ended up losing by a score of 34-28. Justin Jackson was the rushing leader for the Chargers with 13 carries for 86 yards (6.6 yards per carry). Keenan Allen held an average of 13.0 yds per reception by earning 78 yards on 6 catches. Justin Herbert connected on 22/38 with 236 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 82.8 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Chargers gave up 86 yds on 20 attempts, which averages out to 4.3 yds per run surrendered. Los Angeles allowed 31 pass completions on 47 tries for a total of 410 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.0%. In all, they had 78 plays which totaled 428 yds. The Los Angeles Chargers ran the ball a total of 39 times and had 192 yds, which had them averaging 4.9 yards per tote.

The Chargers have earned 5,436 total yards for the year. Los Angeles has accumulated 204 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 98 penalties for 854 yards. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Los Angeles has compiled 32 touchdowns through the air and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 17 different times (12 interceptions and 5 fumbles). As a team they average 111.1 yards on the ground ranking them 18th in the National Football League. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Los Angeles Chargers have an average of 27.1 points per outing.

Concerning passing yardage, the Chargers have surrendered 3,105 yards which has them sitting in 12th in the league. They have conceded 221.8 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 63.4%. Overall, they are surrendering 358.6 yards/contest which has them ranked 23rd in the league. They have surrendered 22 touchdowns via the pass and 19 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.6 yards per run and 136.8 yards on the ground per game this season. In total, they have allowed 1,915 yards via the ground game in 14 games. The Chargers are sitting in 28th in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, conceding 26.4 points per game.

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The Texans head into this matchup 3-11 for this year. In their last game, the Texans got the win with a final of 30-16 when they played the Jaguars. Davis Mills (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 209 yards on 19/30 through the air while his quarterback rating was 92.2. He had 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 6.97 yards. Rex Burkhead ran the football 16 times for 41 yds, ending the game with 2.6 yds per carry for Houston. Brandin Cooks was a featured target for the Texans, grabbing 7 throws for 102 yds (14.6 yds per reception). Houston ran the ball for 2.9 yds per carry, totaling 75 yds on 26 attempts. The Texans finished the game with 281 yds and they ran 57 plays (4.9 yards per play). The Texans pass defense allowed a completion rate of 57.9%, surrendering 189 yards on 22 for 38 through the air. Houston allowed 25 run attempts for 107 yards (4.3 yds per rush).

When looking at their scoring prowess, the Texans are sitting 31st in the league with an average of 14.8 points per game. For the season to this point, the Texans have compiled 2,634 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 188.1 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 31st in the league. They average 77.4 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,083 yards for this season. The Houston Texans have an average of 265.5 yards per outing which is good for 32nd in football. The Houston offense has compiled 776 yards of penalties on 95 infractions, which is 6th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 14 interceptions while losing 7 fumbles and they have been able to earn 131 1st downs.

The Texans are conceding 26.6 points per contest, which has them ranked 29th in the NFL. Houston has allowed a total of 2,030 yards rushing (145.0 yards/game) in addition to 23 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have allowed the opposition 20 touchdowns through the air and 233.4 yards per outing, which puts them in 14th in the league. The Texans defense has been on the field for 918 plays, which has them sitting 29th in football. This year, they have conceded 372 points in total. They have tallied 21 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 14 interceptions) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chargers -11

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