Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 11/28/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Tips Week 12

Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, November 28, 2021

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Los Angeles Chargers (6-4) are traveling to Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday where they will compete against the Denver Broncos (5-5). Denver opens this game as 2.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 46.5.

The Los Angeles Chargers come into this matchup with a record of 6-4 this season. In their last game, the Chargers played the Steelers and took home the win by a score of 41-37. Justin Herbert connected on 30/41 with 382 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rate of 116.1 and ended the game with 1 pick. Keenan Allen had an average of 12.4 yds per reception by recording 112 yards on 9 receptions. Austin Ekeler was the rushing leader for the Chargers with 11 carries for 50 yards (4.5 yards per carry). When all was said and done, they ran 69 plays for 533 yards. The Los Angeles Chargers rushed the ball a total of 26 times and accumulated 159 yds, which had them averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Chargers gave up 55 yds on 18 tries, which averages out to 3.1 yds per rush surrendered. Los Angeles gave up 28 pass completions on 44 attempts for 245 yds, and a completion rate of 63.6%.

Concerning getting in the endzone, the Los Angeles Chargers are averaging 26.0 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 106.1 yards on the ground ranking this team at 21st in the league. The Chargers have earned 3,865 total yards for the season. Los Angeles has earned 148 first downs as a team, and they have committed 71 penalties for 629 yds. They have surrendered the football 10 different times (8 picks and 2 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Los Angeles has totaled 22 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns via the ground.

The Chargers rank 27th in the league concerning team defense, allowing 26.5 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.7 yards per rush and 145.1 rushing yards per contest this season. In total, they have allowed 1,451 rushing yards through 10 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Chargers have conceded 2,099 yards which ranks them 4th in the NFL. They have yielded 209.9 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 65.7%. Over the course of this season, they have surrendered 355.0 yards per outing which has them ranked 17th in the National Football League. They have given up 15 touchdowns by air in addition to 13 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 5-5 this season. The last time they took the field, the Broncos went home defeated by a final of 30-13 when they faced the Eagles. Melvin Gordon ran the football 9 times for 45 yards, ending the contest with 5.0 yards per carry for Denver. Albert Okwuegbunam was one of the featured targets for the Broncos, snagging 3 footballs for 77 yds (25.7 yds per reception). Teddy Bridgewater finished the contest with 226 yards on 22/36 through the air while his QB rating was 79.2. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.28 yds. Denver gave up 39 rushing attempts for 216 yds (5.5 yds per rush). The Broncos secondary gave up a completion percentage of 69.6%, surrendering 170 yards on 16 out of 23 through the air. The Broncos finished the game with 308 yds while running 55 plays (5.6 yds per play). Denver ran for 5.3 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 96 yds on 18 attempts.

The Denver Broncos are averaging 342.1 yards per contest which has them ranked 20th out of all teams in the league. They maintain an average of 111.5 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,115 yards in total. The Denver offense has compiled 463 penalty yards on 53 violations, which has them sitting 27th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 6 picks while conceding 5 fumbles and they have recorded 118 1st downs. For the season so far, the Broncos have thrown for a total of 2,306 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 230.6 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 18th in football. Regarding their ability to score points, the Broncos are ranking 23rd in the NFL holding an average of 20.0 points per outing.

Denver has conceded a total of 1,101 yards on the ground (110.1 yards per contest) in addition to 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns via the pass as well as 218.1 yards per game, ranking them 9th in the NFL. Their defense has earned 11 takeaways (3 fumbles and 8 interceptions) on the campaign. This season, they have given up 183 total points. The Broncos defense has participated in 601 plays, which ranks 2nd in the league. The Broncos are relinquishing 18.3 PPG, ranking them 3rd in football.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chargers -2.5

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