Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, 10/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 4

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021

Location: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Eagles (+7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

Lincoln Financial Field is where the Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) will try to beat the Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) on Sunday. Philadelphia opens this game as 7.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 54.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this matchup 1-2 for this season. In their last game, the Chiefs took on the Chargers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 30-24. Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 17 carries for 100 yards (5.9 yds per attempt). Travis Kelce had an average of 14.9 yds per catch by notching 104 yards on 7 catches. Patrick Mahomes went 27/44 with 260 yds through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 81.6 and ended the game with 2 picks. Against the run, the Chiefs conceded 77 yds on 22 attempts, which averages out to 3.5 yards per rush allowed. Kansas City conceded 26 pass completions on 38 attempts for 275 yards, and a completion rate of 68.4%. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 76 plays which converted into 437 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball 30 different times and totaled 186 yds, earning them an average of 6.2 yards per tote.

The Chiefs have earned 1,239 total yards for the season. Kansas City has accrued 52 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 16 infractions for 138 yds. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Kansas City has totaled 9 passing touchdowns and 2 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 6 times (3 picks and 3 fumbles). Offensively they're holding an average of 107.0 yards rushing ranking them 14th in the National Football League. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 30.7 points per outing.

The Chiefs are ranked 31st in the NFL in relation to team defense, allowing 31.7 points per game. They are giving up an average of 5.4 yards per rushing attempt and 160.3 yards on the ground per game over the course of this season. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 481 yards via the ground game in 3 games. In terms of yards via the pass, the Chiefs have given up 809 yards which ranks them 23rd in the league. They are giving up 269.7 yards per game via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 70.7%. In total, they are surrendering 430.0 yards per outing which puts them 30th in the league. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 7 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Eagles come into this game with a record of 1-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Eagles went home defeated by a final of 41-21 against the Cowboys. Jalen Hurts (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 326 yds on 25/39 through the air while his QB rating was 86.1. He threw 2 interceptions and his longest completion was 41 yds. Jalen Hurts ran the ball 9 times for 35 yds, finishing the game with 3.9 yards per carry for Philadelphia. Jalen Reagor was featured in the passing game for the Eagles, snagging 5 throws for 53 yds (10.6 yds per catch). Philadelphia rushed the football for 5.3 yards per tote, finishing with 64 yds on 12 carries. The Eagles finished the contest with a total of 367 yards and they ran 53 plays (6.9 yds per play). The Eagles pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 80.8%, relinquishing 220 yards on 21 out of 26 passing. Philadelphia relinquished 41 rushing attempts for 160 yds (3.9 yards per rush).

When discussing their ability to score points, the Eagles rank 23rd in the league by scoring 21.3 PPG. For the season so far, the Eagles have a total of 741 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 247.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 15th out of all NFL teams. They maintain an average of 129.3 run yards per game and have rushed for 388 yards in total. The Philadelphia Eagles hold an average of 376.3 yards/outing which has them ranked 16th in football. The Philadelphia offense has racked up 232 penalty yards on 35 infractions, which is good for 1st in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 2 interceptions while conceding 0 fumbles and they have been able to earn 31 1st downs.

Philadelphia has allowed a total of 401 yards rushing (133.7 yards/game) and 3 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have given up 4 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 181.7 yards/contest, which puts them in 6th in the NFL. Their defense has tallied 1 takeaway (1 fumble recovery) so far this season. This season, they have relinquished 64 total points. The Eagles defense has been on the field for 203 plays, which ranks them 25th in the league. The Eagles are surrendering 21.3 PPG, which has them sitting 10th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Eagles NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Eagles +7.5

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