Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction, 9/12/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 1

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, September 12, 2021

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Houston Texans (4-12-0 last season) will play the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15-0 last year) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Jacksonville opens as 2.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 45.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars ended the season having a 1-15-0 mark. In their last contest, the Jaguars took the field against the Colts and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 28-14. Mike Glennon connected on 26/42 with 261 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 95.4 and ended the contest with no picks. Chris Conley held an average of 12.4 yards per catch by earning 87 yards on 7 catches. Dare Ogunbowale was the rushing leader for the Jaguars with 14 carries for 50 yds (3.6 yards per attempt). In all, they ran 65 plays which gave them 283 yds. The Jacksonville Jaguars ended up running the ball 17 times and recorded 53 yds, which is an average of 3.1 yds per attempt. Against the run, the Jaguars gave up 273 yards on 37 tries, which calculates to 7.4 yards per rush allowed. Jacksonville conceded 17 pass completions on 27 attempts for 164 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.0%.

The Jaguars earned 5,218 total yards last season. They gave the ball to the opposition 25 times (16 interceptions and 9 fumbles lost). Jacksonville earned 25 touchdowns via the pass and 9 rushing touchdowns. Jacksonville compiled 205 1st downs as a team, and they were flagged for 107 penalties for 1071 yds. Offensively they averaged 94.9 yards on the ground, which ranked them 29th in the NFL. Concerning scoring points, the Jacksonville Jaguars had an average of 19.1 PPG.

The Jaguars were sitting in 31st in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 30.8 points per game. The opposition ran for an average of 4.7 yards per rush on the ground and 153.3 rushing yards per contest for the previous year. Overall, they allowed 2,452 rushing yards through 16 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Jaguars gave up 4,231 yards which had them sitting in 27th in the league. In their 16 games played, they allowed 264.4 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 69.4%. They allowed 34 throwing touchdowns as well as 23 touchdowns on the ground. They granted 417.7 yards/contest putting them at 31st in the league.

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The Texans ended the year holding a 4-12-0 mark. For their last game, the Texans walked away with a loss by a score of 41-38 when they played the Titans. Deshaun Watson (3 touchdowns) ended the game with 365 yds on 28/39 through the air while his quarterback rating was 115.9. He tossed 1 interception and his longest pass completion went for 42 yards. David Johnson carried the rock 14 times for 84 yards, finishing the contest with 6.0 yds per carry for Houston. Brandin Cooks was one of the featured targets for the Texans, hauling in 11 balls for 166 yards (15.1 yards per catch). Houston ended up running for 5.6 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 96 yards on 17 carries. The Texans finished the game with a total of 457 yds and they ran 61 plays (7.5 yds per play). The Texans pass defense allowed a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 204 yds on 18 out of 27 passing. Houston surrendered 41 running attempts for 288 yards (7.0 yards per carry).

Regarding putting points on the board, the Texans were ranked 18th out of all teams in football with 24.0 points per contest. Last season, the Texans threw for 4,538 yards through the air as well as averaging 283.6 passing yards per outing, which had them ranked 4th in the NFL. They held an average of 91.6 run yards per game and rushed for 1,466 yards for the year. The Houston Texans averaged 375.3 yards per outing which ranked them 13th in the league. The Houston offense racked up 619 yds of penalties on 80 violations, which ranked them 29th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. They threw 7 picks while allowing opponents to recover 11 fumbles and they tallied 222 first downs.

The Texans relinquished 29.0 points per game, which put them in 27th in the league. In total, they conceded 464 points in total. Houston gave up a total of 2,564 yards via the ground game (160.3 yards/game) as well as 24 touchdowns rushing throughout last year. They allowed 30 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 256.5 yards/outing, which put them in 24th in football. The Texans defense took the field for 1,068 plays, which ranked 27th in the NFL. Their defense tallied 9 takeaways (6 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions) last year.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Houston +2.5

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