Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 9/30/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 4

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Thursday, September 30, 2021

Location: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: NFLN

Odds/Point Spread: Bengals (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

Paul Brown Stadium is the location where the Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) will attempt to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) on Thursday. Cincinnati opens as 7.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 47.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars step onto the field holding a record of 0-3 for this season. In their last game, the Jaguars went up against the Cardinals and ended up losing by a score of 31-19. James Robinson was the leader on the ground for the Jaguars with 15 carries for 88 yds (5.9 yds per attempt). Marvin Jones averaged 10.3 yards per reception by accounting for 62 yds on 6 receptions. Trevor Lawrence finished 22/34 with 219 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 68.1 and finished the game with 2 interceptions. Against the run, the Jaguars conceded 91 yds on 30 attempts, which averages out to 3.0 yards per run allowed. Jacksonville allowed 28 completions on 34 tries for a total of 316 yds, and a completion rate of 82.4%. In all, they ran 66 plays for 361 yds. The Jacksonville Jaguars rushed the ball a total of 29 different times and amassed 159 yds, which came out to an average of 5.5 yds per attempt.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Jacksonville Jaguars hold an average of 17.7 points per game. Offensively they average 103.3 yards in the run game which ranks them 18th in the National Football League. The Jaguars have racked up 945 total yards this season. Jacksonville has amassed 29 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 21 infractions for 192 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 different times (7 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, Jacksonville has compiled 5 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Jaguars are sitting in 28th in the NFL concerning team defense, conceding 30.3 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.4 yards per rush and 115.7 rushing yards per contest for the season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 347 yards via the running game in 3 games. In terms of passing yards, the Jaguars have given up 907 yards which ranks them 28th in the NFL. They are conceding 302.3 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 74.3%. Overall, they are giving up 418.0 yards per game which has them sitting 29th in the league. They have allowed 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bengals head into this matchup 2-1 this season. When they last played, the Bengals got the victory with a final of 24-10 against the Steelers. Joe Mixon carried the ball 18 times for 90 yards, finishing the contest with 5.0 yds per carry for Cincinnati. Ja'Marr Chase was featured in the passing game for the Bengals, hauling in 4 throws for 65 yds (16.3 yards per catch). Joe Burrow (3 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 172 yards on 14/18 passing while his quarterback rating was 122.9. He had 1 pick and his longest pass completion was 34 yds. Cincinnati conceded 15 rushing attempts for 45 yds (3.0 yds per carry). The Bengals secondary allowed a completion rate of 65.5%, relinquishing 297 yards on 38 for 58 through the air. The Bengals finished the game with 268 yds and they ran 42 plays (6.4 yards per play). Cincinnati ran the football for 4.0 yards per carry, finishing the game with 96 yds on 24 attempts.

The Cincinnati Bengals maintain an average of 294.0 yards per contest which ranks them 28th out of all teams in the league. They maintain an average of 104.7 rushing yards per game and have run for 314 yards for this season. The Cincinnati offense has compiled 161 yds of penalties on 17 infractions, which is 26th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 4 picks while letting opponents recover 1 fumble and they have been able to record 29 1st downs. During the season so far, the Bengals have thrown for a total of 568 passing yards as well as an average of 189.3 throwing yards per game, ranking them 28th in the NFL. When looking at their ability to score points, the Bengals are sitting 18th in the NFL holding an average of 22.7 points per contest.

Cincinnati has allowed a total of 235 yards rushing (78.3 yards per game) and 1 touchdown rushing for the season. They have given up 4 touchdowns through the air and 238.7 yards per outing, which has them sitting 14th in the NFL. They have compiled 4 turnovers (1 fumble recovery and 3 interceptions) on the campaign. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 54 total points. The Bengals defense has participated in 213 plays, which is good for 29th in football. The Bengals are conceding 18.0 PPG, which has them sitting 6th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jaguars +7.5

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