Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 10/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 4

Game: Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Miami Dolphins (1-2) are welcoming the Indianapolis Colts (0-3) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. Miami is 1.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 45.5.

The Indianapolis Colts head into this matchup 0-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Colts played the Titans and ended up losing by a score of 25-16. Carson Wentz went 19/37 with 194 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 66.7 and finished the game with no picks. Michael Pittman Jr. averaged 11.3 yards per catch by accumulating 68 yards on 6 receptions. Jonathan Taylor was the best rusher for the Colts with 10 attempts for 64 yds (6.4 yards per attempt). At the end of the game, they tallied 57 plays which gave them a total of 265 yds. The Indianapolis Colts ended up rushing 18 times and totaled 87 yds, which came out to an average of 4.8 yards per tote. On the ground, the Colts gave up 180 yards on 37 tries, which averages out to 4.9 yds per run surrendered. Indianapolis allowed 18 pass completions on 27 attempts for a total of 188 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.7%.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Indianapolis Colts hold an average of 18.7 points per game. As a unit they're averaging 103.0 yards in the run game which is 19th in the league. The Colts have earned 955 total yards this season. Indianapolis has tallied 35 1st downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 9 penalties for 107 yards. They have turned the football over 3 different times (2 interceptions and 1 fumble). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Indianapolis has amassed 3 touchdowns via the pass and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Colts are ranked 22nd in the league in relation to their opponents scoring, allowing 26.7 points per game. They are giving up 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 140.3 yards on the ground per game over the course of this season. During the season, they have allowed 421 yards via the ground game in 3 games. Concerning passing yards, the Colts have allowed 699 yards which ranks them 12th in football. They are conceding 233.0 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 68.8%. During the season, they are granting 373.3 yards/outing which puts them 18th in the NFL. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 1 touchdown on the ground.

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The Dolphins come into this matchup with a record of 1-2 this season. When they last played, the Dolphins took a defeat with a final score of 31-28 when they faced the Raiders. Myles Gaskin ran the ball 13 times for 65 yds, ending the game with 5.0 yards per carry for Miami. Mike Gesicki was featured in the passing game for the Dolphins, catching 10 passes for 86 yards (8.6 yards per reception). Jacoby Brissett ended the game with 215 yards on 32/49 passing while his quarterback rate was 74.8. He didn't toss any picks and his longest completion was 27 yards. Miami relinquished 35 rush attempts for 140 yards (4.0 yds per carry). The Dolphins pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 60.5%, surrendering 357 yds on 26 for 43 through the air. The Dolphins ended up finishing with 330 yards and they ran 78 plays (4.2 yards per play). Miami ran the ball for 4.9 yds per carry, finishing the game with 133 yds on 27 carries.

The Miami Dolphins are averaging 268.3 yards per contest ranking them 29th out of all teams in the NFL. They hold an average of 92.7 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 278 yards for this year. The Miami offense has accrued 179 penalty yards on 22 infractions, which is 8th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 2 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have recorded 31 first downs. During this campaign so far, the Dolphins have thrown for 527 yards via the pass as well as an average of 175.7 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 29th in the NFL. In terms of their ability to score points, the Dolphins are sitting 30th in football holding an average of 15.0 points per game.

The Dolphins are allowing 27.3 PPG, which has them sitting 23rd of all teams in the NFL. Miami has allowed the opposition a total of 408 yards rushing (136.0 yards per outing) and 4 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have conceded 5 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 265.3 yards/game, which has them ranked 19th in the league. The Dolphins defense has taken part in 215 plays, which has them sitting 30th in football. This season, they have allowed 82 total points. They have earned 5 turnovers (3 fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -1.5

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