Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, 10/11/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 5

Game: Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens

Date: Monday, October 11, 2021

Location: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

M&T Bank Stadium is the site where the Baltimore Ravens (3-1) will take on the Indianapolis Colts (1-3) on Monday. Baltimore is 6.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 47.5.

The Indianapolis Colts step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 for this season. In their last game, the Colts took the field against the Dolphins and notched a win by a score of 27-17. Carson Wentz went 24/32 with 228 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 115.1 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Jonathan Taylor led the offense in rushing for the Colts with 16 attempts for 103 yards (6.4 yards per attempt). Michael Pittman Jr. had an average of 9.8 yards per reception by accumulating 59 yds on 6 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ran the football 33 times and accumulated 139 yds, which is an average of 4.2 yards per attempt. In the game, they tallied 67 plays which totaled 349 yards. Indianapolis allowed 20 completions on 30 tries for 168 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%. On the ground, the Colts gave up 35 yds on 16 attempts, which is an average of 2.2 yds per rush surrendered.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Indianapolis Colts are sitting at 20.8 points per contest. Offensively they're holding an average of 112.0 yards on the ground which ranks them 15th in the league. The Colts currently have 1,304 total yards for this campaign. Indianapolis has accumulated 44 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 17 infractions for 193 yds. They have surrendered the football 4 times (2 interceptions and 2 fumbles). When it comes to scoring, Indianapolis has amassed 5 touchdowns via the pass and 2 rushing touchdowns.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Colts have conceded 867 yards which ranks them 9th in the NFL. They are allowing 216.8 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 68.2%. In total, they have relinquished 330.8 yards/contest which has them sitting 8th in the league. They have yielded 11 touchdowns via the pass and 1 touchdown on the ground. They are allowing an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 114.0 yards on the ground per game this season. Overall, they have allowed 456 yards on the ground through 4 games. The Colts are ranked 16th in the NFL concerning team defense, conceding 24.3 points per contest.

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The Ravens come into this game with a record of 3-1 for this season. In their last game, the Ravens got the victory with a final of 23-7 against the Broncos. Lamar Jackson (1 touchdown) ended the game with 316 yds on 22/37 through the air while his QB rate was 96.2. He didn't toss any picks and his longest completion went for 49 yds. Marquise Brown was the top contributor in the passing game for the Ravens, grabbing 4 balls for 91 yards (22.8 yds per catch). Latavius Murray carried the football 18 times for 59 yards, finishing the contest with 3.3 yds per attempt for Baltimore. The Ravens finished with 406 yards while they ran 70 plays (5.8 yds per play). Baltimore rushed the ball for 3.4 yds per carry, totaling 102 yds on 30 attempts. Baltimore conceded 17 rushing attempts for 106 yds (6.2 yds per rush). The Ravens secondary conceded a completion rate of 51.4%, relinquishing 148 yards on 19 for 37 through the air.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Ravens sit 8th in the NFL by scoring 26.3 PPG. Over the course of the season so far, the Ravens currently sit at 1,022 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 255.5 passing yards per game, putting them at 13th in football. They have an average of 164.5 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 658 yards for the season. The Baltimore Ravens have an average of 420.0 yards/game which ranks them 4th in the NFL. The Baltimore offense has 250 penalty yds on 25 violations, which is 16th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 3 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 46 1st downs.

Baltimore has surrendered a total of 343 rushing yards (85.8 yards per contest) and 5 touchdowns by ground this year. They have conceded 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 273.0 yards/game, which has them in 24th in football. Their defense has tallied 4 turnovers (1 fumble and 3 picks) this season. This year, they have surrendered 92 points in total. The Ravens defense has been on the field for 248 plays, which ranks 11th in the league. The Ravens are conceding 23.0 points per contest, which has them sitting 12th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Ravens NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Ravens -6.5

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