Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 11/7/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 9

Game: Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, November 7, 2021

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Hard Rock Stadium is the location where the Miami Dolphins (1-7) will compete against the Houston Texans (1-7) on Sunday. Houston opens this contest as 7-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 45.5.

The Houston Texans head into this game 1-7 for this season. In their last game, the Texans faced the Rams and took a loss by a final of 38-22. Davis Mills connected on 29/38 with 310 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 106.2 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Brandin Cooks averaged 13.8 yards per catch by recording 83 yards on 6 catches. Rex Burkhead was the rushing leader for the Texans with 4 totes for 21 yds (5.3 yards per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they ran 58 plays which converted into 323 yards. The Houston Texans ran the rock 14 times and had 44 yds, earning them an average of 3.1 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Texans conceded 172 yds on 37 tries, which calculates to 4.6 yards per run allowed. Houston gave up 20 completions on 28 tries for a total of 225 yards, and a completion rate of 71.4%.

The Texans have tallied 2,249 total yards this season. Houston has a total of 78 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 57 infractions for 492 yds. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Houston has compiled 10 touchdowns via the pass and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 different times (8 picks and 4 fumbles lost). Offensively they have an average of 76.1 yards in the run game which is 31st in the National Football League. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Houston Texans are averaging 14.9 points per outing.

The Texans are ranked 31st in the National Football League when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 30.1 PPG. They are allowing 4.8 yards per running attempt and 148.1 rushing yards per contest this season. Overall, they have allowed 1,185 yards via the ground game in 8 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Texans have allowed 2,026 yards which has them ranked 23rd in the NFL. They have allowed 253.3 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.1%. Overall, they have given up 401.4 yards per contest ranking them 30th in the National Football League. They have relinquished 15 touchdowns by air in addition to 14 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Dolphins head into this matchup 1-7 for this season. In their last game, the Dolphins took a loss by a final score of 26-11 against the Bills. Myles Gaskin ran the football 12 times for 36 yds, ending the game with 3.0 yards per attempt for Miami. DeVante Parker was one of the featured targets for the Dolphins, bringing in 8 throws for 85 yds (10.6 yards per reception). Tua Tagovailoa ended the game with 205 yards on 21/39 through the air while his quarterback rate was 58.2. He had 1 pick and his Y/A was 5.26 yds. Miami surrendered 22 attempts on the ground for 72 yds (3.3 yards per carry). The Dolphins secondary gave up a completion percentage of 62.5%, relinquishing 325 yards on 25 out of 40 passing. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 262 yds while running 64 plays (4.1 yards per play). Miami rushed the football for 3.0 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 68 yards on 23 carries.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Dolphins sit 28th in the NFL averaging 17.3 points per game. During this campaign to this point, the Dolphins currently sit at 1,786 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 223.3 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 25th out of all NFL teams. They have an average of 78.6 run yards per game and have run for 629 yards overall. The Miami Dolphins maintain an average of 301.9 yards/outing ranking them 30th in the league. The Miami offense has compiled 405 yds of penalties on 54 infractions, which ranks 10th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 7 picks while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 99 first downs.

The Dolphins are allowing 29.1 PPG, which has them sitting 29th of all teams in the league. Miami has allowed a total of 926 yards on the ground (115.8 yards/game) in addition to 9 touchdowns by ground for the season. They have conceded 17 touchdowns via the pass as well as 291.1 yards per outing, ranking them 31st out of all teams. The Dolphins defense has taken part in 544 plays, which ranks 31st in the league. This season, they have surrendered 233 points in total. They have 9 takeaways (6 fumbles and 3 picks) so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Texans +7

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