Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 10/17/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 6

Game: Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, October 17, 2021

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Indianapolis Colts (1-4) will compete against the Houston Texans (1-4) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday. Indianapolis is 9.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 49.5.

The Houston Texans step onto the field holding a record of 1-4 for this year. In their last contest, the Texans faced off with the Patriots and took a loss by a score of 25-22. Davis Mills went 21/29 with 312 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 141.7 and ended the contest with no picks. Mark Ingram led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 16 carries for 41 yds (2.6 yards per attempt). Chris Moore had an average of 21.8 yds per reception by notching 109 yds on 5 receptions. The Houston Texans ended up rushing 24 times and had 67 yds, earning them an average of 2.8 yards per attempt. Overall, they ran 56 plays which totaled 360 yds. Houston allowed 23 completions on 30 tries for a total of 226 yds, and a completion percentage of 76.7%. Against the run, the Texans conceded 126 yds on 30 attempts, which calculates to 4.2 yds per rush allowed.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Houston Texans have an average of 17.8 points per game. As a unit they have an average of 79.8 yards rushing which has them sitting 28th in the NFL. The Texans have earned 1,413 yards in total for this campaign. Houston has accrued 47 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 39 infractions for 349 yds. They have surrendered the ball 8 different times (5 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Houston has amassed 8 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns.

The Texans sit in 27th in the NFL concerning team defense, giving up 28.2 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush on the ground and 134.8 yards on the ground per contest this season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 674 running yards through 5 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Texans have conceded 1,285 yards which puts them in 18th in football. They have surrendered 257.0 yards per contest via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 68.3%. In total, they are surrendering 391.8 yards per game which puts them 26th in the NFL. They have granted 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 9 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Colts come into this game with a record of 1-4 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Colts took a loss by a score of 31-25 when they played the Ravens. Carson Wentz (2 TDs) ended the contest with 402 yards on 25/35 passing while his QB rating was 128.5. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his longest pass completion went for 76 yards. Jonathan Taylor carried the football 15 times for 53 yards, walking away from the game with 3.5 yards per carry for Indianapolis. Michael Pittman Jr. had the best day in terms of receiving for the Colts, snagging 6 passes for 89 yds (14.8 yards per reception). Indianapolis ran the ball for 4.7 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 123 yds on 26 carries. The Colts finished the game with 513 yds while running 63 plays (8.1 yds per play). The Colts passing defense allowed a completion rate of 86.0%, relinquishing 437 yds on 37 for 43 through the air. Indianapolis conceded 25 attempts on the ground for 86 yards (3.4 yds per carry).

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Colts rank 21st out of all teams in the NFL by scoring 21.6 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Colts have racked up 1,246 yards through the air as well as an average of 249.2 passing yards per game, which is ranked 15th in football. They maintain an average of 114.2 yards per game via the rush and have run for 571 yards for the year. The Indianapolis Colts hold an average of 363.4 yards per outing ranking them 17th in football. The Indianapolis offense has totaled 238 yards of penalties on 22 infractions, which ranks 31st in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 2 picks while conceding 3 fumbles and they have obtained 60 1st downs.

The Colts are conceding 25.6 points per game, which has them in 23rd in the NFL. Indianapolis has conceded a total of 542 rushing yards (108.4 yards per outing) and 1 touchdown via the rush for the year. They have allowed 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 260.8 yards/outing, which has them sitting 20th in the NFL. The Colts defense has taken part in 297 plays, which has them sitting 6th in the league. This year, they have relinquished 128 points in total. They have earned 9 turnovers (6 fumbles and 3 interceptions) so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Texans +9.5

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