Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 10/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 4

Game: Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-17)

Total/Over-Under: 48

Highmark Stadium is the site where the Buffalo Bills (2-1) will try to beat the Houston Texans (1-2) on Sunday. Houston is 17-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 48.

The Houston Texans come into this matchup with a record of 1-2 this season. In their last game, the Texans faced the Panthers and ended up losing by a score of 24-9. Davis Mills connected on 19/28 with 168 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 95.5 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Brandin Cooks averaged 12.4 yards per catch by tallying 112 yards on 9 receptions. Mark Ingram led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 6 carries for 21 yds (3.5 yards per attempt). When all was said and done, they ran 49 plays for 193 yds. The Houston Texans ended up running the ball 17 times and amassed 42 yards, which is an average of 2.5 yards per tote. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Texans gave up 117 yds on 33 tries, which is 3.5 yds per run allowed. Houston allowed 23 completions on 34 tries for 290 yds, and a completion percentage of 67.6%.

The Texans have tallied 944 yards in total over the course of this year. Houston has accumulated 33 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 21 penalties for 179 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Houston has earned 5 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 2 different times (1 interception and 1 fumble lost). As a team they are averaging 94.7 yards on the ground which is 22nd in the NFL. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Houston Texans hold an average of 22.3 points per contest.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Texans have allowed 808 yards which has them ranked 22nd in the league. They have conceded 269.3 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 66.0%. Overall, they are granting 385.7 yards/contest which has them sitting 23rd in the National Football League. They have yielded 4 touchdowns by air and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 4.2 yards per running attempt and 116.3 rushing yards per game this year. During the season, they have allowed 349 yards via the ground game in 3 outings. The Texans are ranked 18th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, conceding 25.3 points per contest.

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The Bills come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Bills walked away with a victory by a final of 43-21 when they faced the Football Team. Zack Moss ran the football 13 times for 60 yards, walking away from the game with 4.6 yds per carry for Buffalo. Cole Beasley was a featured target for the Bills, snagging 11 footballs for 98 yards (8.9 yds per catch). Josh Allen (4 TDs) finished the contest with 358 yards on 32/43 passing while his QB rating was 129.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his longest pass completion was 41 yds. Buffalo conceded 25 run attempts for 78 yards (3.1 yds per rush). The Bills pass defense gave up a completion rate of 58.3%, relinquishing 212 yds on 14 for 24 passing. The Bills finished the contest with a total of 481 yards while running 77 plays (6.2 yards per play). Buffalo rushed for 3.7 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 122 yards on 33 attempts.

The Buffalo Bills maintain an average of 388.7 yards/game which has them sitting 12th in the league. They are averaging 127.3 run yards per game and have rushed for 382 yards for the year. The Buffalo offense has racked up 164 yds of penalties on 19 violations, which is good for 18th in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 1 pick while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to record 41 first downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Bills have compiled 784 passing yards as well as holding an average of 261.3 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 11th in football. When looking at the points being put on the board, the Bills rank 4th in the NFL with 31.3 points per game.

Buffalo has conceded a total of 224 rushing yards (74.7 yards per game) as well as 1 touchdown via the rush for the season. They have conceded 3 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 178.0 yards per game, which has them in 4th in the league. Their defense has 6 takeaways (3 fumbles and 3 picks) on the campaign. This season, they have allowed 44 points in total. The Bills defense taken the field for 175 plays, which is 5th in the league. The Bills are relinquishing 14.7 PPG, which has them in 4th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans +17

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