Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 11/7/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 9

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, November 7, 2021

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Kansas City Chiefs (4-4) are hosting the Green Bay Packers (7-1) at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. Kansas City opens as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 53.5.

The Green Bay Packers come into this matchup with a record of 7-1 for this season. In their last game, the Packers faced the Cardinals and notched a win by a score of 24-21. Aaron Rodgers connected on 22/37 with 184 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 90.4 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Robert Tonyan left with an average of 16.3 yds per catch by notching 49 yds on 3 receptions. AJ Dillon was the rushing leader for the Packers with 16 totes for 78 yds (4.9 yds per attempt). In the game, they ran 72 plays which totaled 335 yards. The Green Bay Packers ran the football 34 different times and compiled 151 yds, which came out to an average of 4.4 yards per tote. Against the run, the Packers gave up 195 yards on 29 attempts, which is an average of 6.7 yds per run surrendered. Green Bay allowed 25 pass completions on 37 tries for a total of 235 yds, and a completion percentage of 67.6%.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Green Bay Packers have an average of 24.0 points per outing. As a unit they maintain an average of 108.1 yards in the run game which has them sitting 17th in the league. The Packers have earned 2,700 total yards over the course of this year. Green Bay has tallied 103 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 36 penalties for 352 yards. They have turned the football over 6 times (3 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Green Bay has earned 17 touchdowns via the pass and 5 rushing touchdowns.

In terms of yards through the air, the Packers have allowed 1,734 yards which ranks them 10th in the NFL. They are allowing 216.8 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 66.5%. During this campaign, they have surrendered 331.8 yards per outing putting them 7th in the NFL. They have surrendered 14 touchdowns via the pass and 8 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.7 yards per run and 115.0 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. For the season, they have conceded 920 running yards through 8 contests. The Packers rank 9th in the league regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 20.9 points per game.

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The Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Chiefs walked away with a victory by a final of 20-17 when they faced the Giants. Patrick Mahomes (1 TD) ended the contest with 275 yards on 29/48 through the air while his QB rate was 74.6. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.73 yards. Tyreek Hill was one of the featured targets for the Chiefs, catching 12 passes for 94 yards (7.8 yds per reception). Darrel Williams carried the ball 13 times for 49 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.8 yards per carry for Kansas City. The Chiefs finished with 368 yards and they ran 77 plays (4.8 yards per play). Kansas City ran the ball for 4.0 yds per attempt, finishing with 107 yards on 27 carries. Kansas City surrendered 35 rushing attempts for 103 yds (2.9 yds per rush). The Chiefs pass defense conceded a completion rate of 78.6%, relinquishing 266 yards on 22 out of 28 passing.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Chiefs currently sit 9th in the league by tallying 26.0 PPG. During the season to this point, the Chiefs have compiled 2,369 passing yards in addition to an average of 296.1 passing yards per game, ranking them 5th in football. They maintain an average of 116.8 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 934 yards for the season. The Kansas City Chiefs maintain an average of 412.9 yards per contest which has them sitting 4th in the league. The Kansas City offense has 466 yards of penalties on 56 violations, which is 5th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 10 picks while letting opponents recover 9 fumbles and they have recorded 138 first downs.

Kansas City has allowed the opposition a total of 974 rushing yards (121.8 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns on the ground for the season. They have given up 15 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 269.8 yards/game, ranking them 25th in the league. They have totaled 8 takeaways (2 fumbles recovered and 6 picks) for the season. This season, they have conceded 220 total points. The Chiefs defense has been on the field for 487 plays, which ranks 18th in football. The Chiefs are surrendering 27.5 points per game, which has them sitting 25th in football.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Packers +2.5

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