Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/17/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 6

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 17, 2021

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The New England Patriots (2-3) are welcoming the Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. Dallas opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 50.5.

The Dallas Cowboys come into this game with a record of 4-1 this season. In their last contest, the Cowboys faced the Giants and took home the win by a score of 44-20. Dak Prescott went 22/32 with 302 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rate of 116.9 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. Ezekiel Elliott was the rushing leader for the Cowboys with 21 carries for 110 yds (5.2 yds per attempt). CeeDee Lamb held an average of 21.0 yds per catch by tallying 84 yards on 4 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ran the rock 39 times and recorded 201 yards, which earned them an average of 5.2 yds per attempt. In all, they ran 74 plays which converted into 515 yds. Dallas surrendered 21 pass completions on 39 attempts for 294 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.8%. On the ground, the Cowboys gave up 73 yards on 25 tries, which calculates to 2.9 yards per run allowed.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 34.0 points per game. As a team they're averaging 172.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 2nd in the National Football League. The Cowboys have attained 2,198 total yards over the course of this year. Dallas has recorded 71 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 36 penalties for 289 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 5 times (3 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Dallas has earned 13 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns.

The Cowboys are ranked 14th in the league concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 23.4 points per game. They are giving up an average of 4.2 yards per run and 79.4 yards on the ground per game this season. In total, they have allowed 397 yards via the ground game in 5 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Cowboys have given up 1,555 yards which puts them in 31st in the National Football League. They are giving up 311.0 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 64.9%. Overall, they have relinquished 390.4 yards per game which puts them 25th in the National Football League. They have yielded 10 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Patriots head into this game 2-3 this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Patriots got the victory with a final of 25-22 against the Texans. Mac Jones (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 231 yards on 23/30 passing while his quarterback rating was 95.3. He had 1 interception and his longest pass completion was 24 yds. Hunter Henry was featured in the passing game for the Patriots, snagging 6 footballs for 75 yards (12.5 yards per catch). Damien Harris carried the ball 14 times for 58 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.1 yds per attempt for New England. The Patriots finished the contest with a total of 352 yds while they ran 61 plays (5.8 yards per play). New England rushed for 4.2 yards per attempt, totaling 126 yards on 30 carries. New England relinquished 24 rush attempts for 67 yds (2.8 yds per carry). The Patriots passing defense conceded a completion rate of 72.4%, surrendering 293 yards on 21 out of 29 through the air.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Patriots currently sit 26th in football with an average of 19.2 points per game. For the season thus far, the Patriots have compiled 1,199 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 239.8 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 20th out of all NFL teams. They have an average of 80.0 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 400 yards for the season. The New England Patriots are averaging 319.8 yards per game which is good for 26th in the NFL. The New England offense has accrued 272 penalty yards on 31 violations, which ranks 22nd in football in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 5 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have recorded 61 1st downs.

The Patriots are relinquishing 18.4 PPG, which has them in 5th of all teams in the league. New England has allowed a total of 555 yards on the ground (111.0 yards/game) in addition to 3 touchdowns by ground this season. They have conceded 6 touchdowns through the air and 206.6 yards per game, which has them sitting 5th in the NFL. The Patriots defense has been on the field for 312 plays, ranking them 15th in football. Overall, they have conceded 92 total points. Their defense has tallied 6 takeaways (1 fumble and 5 picks) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots +4.5

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