Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 11/21/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Tips Week 11

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, November 21, 2021

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 56

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-4) will play the Dallas Cowboys (7-2) at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. Kansas City opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 56.

The Dallas Cowboys head into this game 7-2 for this season. In their last game, the Cowboys went up against the Falcons and notched a win by a score of 43-3. Dak Prescott connected on 24/31 with 296 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 127.9 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. CeeDee Lamb had an average of 15.7 yards per reception by tallying 94 yds on 6 catches. Ezekiel Elliott was the best rusher for the Cowboys with 14 carries for 41 yds (2.9 yards per carry). At the end of the game, they had 72 plays which gave them a total of 431 yds. The Dallas Cowboys ended up running the ball 37 different times and accumulated 114 yards, which had them averaging 3.1 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Cowboys gave up 103 yds on 24 attempts, which calculates to 4.3 yds per run allowed. Dallas allowed 10 pass completions on 27 attempts for a total of 111 yards, and a completion percentage of 37.0%.

The Cowboys have earned 3,905 total yards this year. Dallas has a total of 138 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 71 infractions for 605 yards. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Dallas has compiled 22 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 12 times (6 interceptions and 6 fumbles). As a team they hold an average of 139.6 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 4th in the National Football League. In terms of scoring, the Dallas Cowboys have an average of 31.6 points per outing.

The Cowboys sit in 10th in the NFL when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 21.7 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per running attempt and 101.2 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 911 rushing yards through 9 contests. Regarding yards via the pass, the Cowboys have allowed 2,275 yards which has them ranked 17th in football. They have relinquished 252.8 yards per outing via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 63.1%. Over the course of this season, they are giving up 354.0 yards per contest which ranks them 15th in the NFL. They have yielded 14 touchdowns through the air as well as 7 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 6-4 this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Chiefs went home victorious with a score of 41-14 when they played the Raiders. Darrel Williams carried the football 11 times for 43 yards, ending the contest with 3.9 yards per carry for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was the top contributor in the passing game for the Chiefs, grabbing 8 throws for 119 yards (14.9 yds per reception). Patrick Mahomes (5 TDs) walked away from the game with 406 yds on 35/50 through the air while his quarterback rate was 127.6. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his avg yards per attempt was 8.12 yds. Kansas City relinquished 14 rush attempts for 50 yds (3.6 yds per rush). The Chiefs pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 71.4%, surrendering 249 yards on 25 for 35 passing. The Chiefs finished the contest with a total of 516 yards while running 76 plays (6.8 yds per play). Kansas City ended up running for 3.8 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 94 yards on 25 carries.

Concerning their scoring prowess, the Chiefs currently sit 10th out of all teams in the league averaging 26.2 points per outing. During this campaign to this point, the Chiefs currently have a total of 2,951 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 295.1 passing yards per outing, ranking them 3rd in football. They hold an average of 110.5 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,105 yards overall. The Kansas City Chiefs hold an average of 405.6 yards per outing which is good for 4th out of all teams in the league. The Kansas City offense has 533 yds of penalties on 66 infractions, which is good for 10th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 10 picks while losing 10 fumbles and they have recorded 170 1st downs.

Kansas City has conceded a total of 1,146 rushing yards (114.6 yards/game) as well as 10 touchdowns by ground this year. They have conceded 18 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 258.6 yards/outing, which has them in 23rd in football. Their defense has earned 12 turnovers (4 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions) this season. Over the course of the season, they have given up 241 total points. The Chiefs defense has participated in 598 plays, which ranks them 19th in the NFL. The Chiefs are surrendering 24.1 PPG, which has them sitting 21st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs -2.5

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