Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 9/12/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 1

Game: Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, September 12, 2021

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-2-0 last season) will try to defeat the Cleveland Browns (11-5-0 last year) at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. Kansas City opens as 5.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 53.5.

The Cleveland Browns finished the year having a 11-5-0 record. In their last game, the Browns went up against the Chiefs and went home with a loss by a final score of 22-17. Nick Chubb was the leader on the ground for the Browns with 13 totes for 69 yds (5.3 yards per attempt). Jarvis Landry held an average of 2.9 yards per catch by recording 20 yds on 7 receptions. Baker Mayfield connected on 23/37 with 204 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 74.6 and ended the game with 1 pick. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Browns conceded 123 yards on 24 attempts, which averages out to 5.1 yds per run allowed. Cleveland surrendered 27 pass completions on 38 attempts for a total of 315 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.1%. Overall, they tallied 60 plays which gave them a total of 308 yds. The Cleveland Browns ended up running the ball 22 times and recorded 112 yards, earning them an average of 5.1 yards per attempt.

The Browns racked up 5,913 total yards for the prior season. They turned the football over 16 times (8 interceptions and 8 fumbles lost). Cleveland earned 27 passing touchdowns and 21 rushing touchdowns. Cleveland tallied 195 1st downs, and they committed 100 penalties for 870 yards. As a team they maintained an average of 148.4 yds on the ground, ranking them 3rd in the NFL. When talking about scoring points, the Cleveland Browns had an average of 25.5 points per contest.

The Browns ranked 21st in the NFL regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 26.2 points per game. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 110.8 rushing yards per game last year. During the campaign, they conceded 1,773 rushing yards through 16 contests. Concerning passing yardage, the Browns gave up 3,962 yards which had them sitting in 22nd in football. In their 16 games played last year, they allowed 247.6 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 63.4%. They surrendered 31 throwing touchdowns as well as 16 running touchdowns. They gave up 358.4 yards per game ranking them 17th in the NFL.

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The Chiefs ended the season having earned a 14-2-0 record. For their last game, the Chiefs took a loss by a final score of 31-9 when they faced the Buccaneers. Patrick Mahomes finished the game with 270 yards on 26/49 through the air while his quarterback rate was 52.3. He threw 2 interceptions and his longest completion went for 33 yds. Travis Kelce was the best receiver for the Chiefs, snagging 10 balls for 133 yds (13.3 yds per reception). Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran the ball 9 times for 64 yds, finishing the game with 7.1 yards per carry for Kansas City. The Chiefs finished the contest with a total of 350 yards and they ran 69 plays (5.1 yds per play). Kansas City ran the ball for 6.3 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 107 yards on 17 attempts. Kansas City surrendered 33 running attempts for 145 yds (4.4 yds per rush). The Chiefs secondary allowed a completion percentage of 72.4%, surrendering 195 yards on 21 for 29 passing.

The Kansas City Chiefs had an average of 415.8 yards/game which had them ranked 1st out of all teams in the league. They tossed 7 interceptions while surrendering 9 fumbles and they recorded 255 first downs. They averaged 112.4 yards per game on the ground and rushed for 1,799 yards for the year. The Kansas City offense compiled 919 yds of penalties on 105 violations, which had them sitting 4th in the league in terms of helping out the other team. Last season, the Chiefs threw for a total of 4,854 passing yards not to mention averaging 303.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 1st in the league. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Chiefs earned a ranking of 6th in the league by scoring 29.6 points per game.

The Chiefs relinquished 22.6 PPG, ranking them 11th in the league. Over the course of the season, they relinquished 362 points in total. Kansas City surrendered a total of 1,954 yards rushing (122.1 yards/game) in addition to 14 touchdowns via the rush over the course of last year. They surrendered 29 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 236.2 yards per outing, which had them sitting 14th in the NFL. The Chiefs defense was on the field for 1,022 plays, which was good for 14th in football. Their defense earned 22 takeaways (6 fumbles recovered and 16 interceptions) in the prior season.

Who will win tonight's Browns/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Kansas City -5.5

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