Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/17/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Divisional Playoffs

Game: Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, January 17, 2021

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -10

Total/Over-Under: 56

Arrowhead Stadium is the site where Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (14-2) will play the Cleveland Browns (11-5) on Sunday. The spread on this contest has Kansas City as 10-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 56.

The Cleveland Browns come into this game with a record of 11-5 for this season. In the 1st round of the Playoffs they played the Pittsburgh Steelers and won by a score of 48-37. Baker Mayfield went 21/34 with 263 yards through the air and added 3 TD's. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Nick Chubb led the team on the ground in the game. His longest run of the day went for 20 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for a total of 76 yards via 18 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.2 yards per run. Jarvis Landry was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 92 yards on 5 catches. He earned an average of 18.4 yards per reception in the game. The Cleveland Browns ended up rushing 31 times and generated 192 yards earning them an average of 6.2 yards per rush. Overall, they ran 62 plays which gave them a total of 358 yards. For the game, the Browns earned a total of 21 1st downs and they had 4 penalties for 19 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Cleveland allowed 26 completions on 44 tries for a total of 309 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.0%. Against the run, the Browns allowed 85 yards on 20 runs which is an average of 4.3 yards per run allowed. In the game, they conceded a total of 394 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

The Browns have racked up 5,913 total yards for this campaign. Offensively they're averaging 148.4 yards in the run game which ranks them 3rd in the NFL. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Cleveland has compiled 27 passing touchdowns and 21 rushing touchdowns. In terms of scoring, the Cleveland Browns have an average of 25.5 points per outing. Regarding passing yardage, the Browns have conceded 3,962 yards which has them sitting in 22nd in the league. During this campaign, they are conceding 358.4 yards per contest which ranks them 17th in the NFL. The Browns are ranked 21st in the National Football League concerning team defense, allowing 26.2 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 4.3 yards per rush and 110.8 rushing yards per contest this season. Over the course of their 16 games played this year, they are conceding 247.6 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 63.4%. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,773 yards via the ground game in 16 games.

The Chiefs head into this matchup 14-2 for this season. In their last contest they played the Los Angeles Chargers and ended up taking the loss by a score of 38-21. Darwin Thompson led the team in rushing for that game. He had a long run of 10 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown in the game. He scurried for 45 yards by way of 14 carries which had him averaging 3.2 yards per carry. Thompson was the receiving yardage leader by earning 65 yards on 7 receptions. He earned an average of 9.3 yards per reception for that game. Chad Henne went 23/32 with 218 yards through the air and threw 2 TD's. He walked away with no picks. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up rushing 17 times and totaled 51 yards giving them an average of 3.0 yards per attempt. On the day, the Chiefs earned a total of 18 first downs and they totaled 5 penalties for 69 yards. In all, they ran 50 plays for 268 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Kansas City conceded 22 catches on 31 attempts for a total of 281 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.0%. For this contest, they allowed 416 yards but weren't able to force a turnover. Against the run, the Chiefs conceded 135 yards on 35 tries which gave them an average of 3.9 yards per attempt allowed.

Over the course of the season to this point, the Chiefs have thrown for a total of 4,854 yards through the air in addition to an average of 303.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 1st in the league. The Kansas City Chiefs maintain an average of 415.8 yards per outing ranking them 1st out of all teams in the NFL. They have an average of 112.4 run yards per game and have run for 1,799 yards overall. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Chiefs rank 6th out of all teams in the league holding an average of 29.6 points per contest. Regarding passing yardage, the Chiefs have allowed 3,779 yards which ranks them 14th in football. During the season, they are granting 358.3 yards/game putting them 16th in football. The Chiefs sit in 11th in the league in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 22.6 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rush on the ground and 122.1 rushing yards per contest for the season. In their 16 games played this year, they are allowing 236.2 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 62.7%. Overall, they have given up 1,954 yards via the ground game in 16 contests.

Who will win tonight's Browns/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Browns +10

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