Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Prediction, 12/26/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, December 26, 2021

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44

Gillette Stadium is the site where the New England Patriots (9-5) will compete against the Buffalo Bills (8-6) on Sunday. Buffalo opens this contest as 2.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 44.

The Buffalo Bills head into this matchup 8-6 for this season. In their last game, the Bills stepped onto the field against the Panthers and took home the win by a score of 31-14. Josh Allen connected on 19/34 with 210 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 91.5 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Gabriel Davis had an average of 17.0 yds per catch by accumulating 85 yds on 5 receptions. Devin Singletary was the rushing leader for the Bills with 22 carries for 86 yards (3.9 yards per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they ran 65 plays which gave them a total of 312 yards. The Buffalo Bills ran the ball 27 times and compiled 119 yards, earning them an average of 4.4 yards per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Bills gave up 151 yards on 29 attempts, which calculates to 5.2 yards per run allowed. Buffalo conceded 18 completions on 38 attempts for 124 yards, and a completion rate of 47.4%.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Buffalo Bills hold an average of 28.1 points per outing. As a team they maintain an average of 120.9 yards on the ground ranking this team at 13th in the NFL. The Bills have racked up 5,290 total yards over the course of this year. Buffalo has recorded 193 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 97 infractions for 848 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 19 times (13 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). With reference to notching touchdowns, Buffalo has amassed 31 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns.

When talking about passing yardage, the Bills have given up 2,458 yards which has them ranked 1st in the NFL. They have allowed 175.6 yards per outing via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 57.8%. For the year, they have given up 287.9 yards per contest putting them 1st in football. They have yielded 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 15 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.2 yards per run and 112.4 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. During this campaign, they have given up 1,573 rushing yards through 14 contests. The Bills rank 2nd in the league in relation to team defense, allowing 17.4 PPG.

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The Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 9-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Patriots walked away with a loss by a score of 27-17 when they played the Colts. Mac Jones (2 TDs) ended the contest with 299 yards on 26/45 through the air while his quarterback rating was 74.2. He tossed 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.64 yards. Hunter Henry was the leading receiver for the Patriots, snagging 6 balls for 77 yards (12.8 yds per catch). Rhamondre Stevenson carried the football 10 times for 36 yards, ending the contest with 3.6 yds per carry for New England. The Patriots finished with a total of 365 yards while they ran 65 plays (5.6 yards per play). New England rushed the ball for 4.3 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 81 yds on 19 attempts. New England relinquished 39 running attempts for 226 yards (5.8 yds per rush). The Patriots pass defense conceded a completion rate of 41.7%, relinquishing 49 yds on 5 for 12 passing.

In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Patriots are 11th in the NFL with an average of 26.2 points per game. For the year to this point, the Patriots currently have a total of 3,183 passing yards along with holding an average of 227.4 passing yards per outing, ranking them 17th in the league. They maintain an average of 120.5 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,687 yards for this season. The New England Patriots maintain an average of 347.9 yards/outing which has them sitting 17th in football. The New England offense has accrued 716 yards of penalties on 81 violations, which is good for 23rd in football in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 10 picks while allowing opponents to recover 8 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 157 1st downs.

New England has given up a total of 1,714 rushing yards (122.4 yards per contest) as well as 7 touchdowns rushing this year. They have given up 16 touchdowns through the air in addition to 185.1 yards/contest, ranking them 3rd in football. Their defense has tallied 27 turnovers (7 fumbles and 20 interceptions) over the course of the season. This season, they have relinquished 227 points in total. The Patriots defense has taken part in 851 plays, which is good for 9th in the league. The Patriots are giving up 16.2 points per game, which has them ranked 1st of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bills +2.5

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