Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 11/7/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 9

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, November 7, 2021

Location: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (+10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6) will try to defeat the Buffalo Bills (5-2) at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday. Jacksonville opens this contest as 10.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 49.5.

The Buffalo Bills head into this matchup 5-2 this season. In their last game, the Bills stepped onto the field against the Dolphins and notched a win by a score of 26-11. Josh Allen finished 29/42 with 249 yards through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 100.2 and walked away from the game without throwing an interception. Devin Singletary was the leader on the ground for the Bills with 7 carries for 28 yds (4.0 yards per carry). Cole Beasley held an average of 11.0 yards per reception by earning 110 yds on 10 catches. The Buffalo Bills ended up rushing 23 times and recorded 102 yards, which is an average of 4.4 yards per attempt. When the final whistle blew, they had 66 plays which gave them 351 yards. Buffalo gave up 18 pass completions on 29 attempts for 216 yds, and a completion percentage of 62.1%. In the running game, the Bills conceded 146 yards on 22 attempts, which is an average of 6.6 yards per run allowed.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Buffalo Bills have an average of 32.7 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 126.6 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 8th in the National Football League. The Bills have racked up 2,820 total yards for this campaign. Buffalo has earned 102 first downs offensively, and they have committed 49 penalties for 437 yards. They have surrendered the ball 5 different times (3 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Buffalo has totaled 17 passing touchdowns and 8 touchdowns via the ground.

Concerning yards through the air, the Bills have allowed 1,277 yards which ranks them 1st in the league. They have surrendered 182.4 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 57.6%. Overall, they are giving up 269.0 yards/contest which ranks them 1st in the National Football League. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 86.6 yards on the ground per contest this year. During the season, they have given up 606 yards via the running game in 7 contests. The Bills rank 1st in the NFL in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 15.6 points per contest.

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The Jaguars head into this matchup 1-6 this season. The last time they took the field, the Jaguars took a loss by a score of 31-7 when they played the Seahawks. Trevor Lawrence (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 238 yds on 32/54 passing while his quarterback rate was 68.3. He had 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.41 yds. Dan Arnold was the best receiver for the Jaguars, snagging 8 throws for 68 yards (8.5 yards per catch). Carlos Hyde ran the football 9 times for 32 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.6 yards per attempt for Jacksonville. The Jaguars finished with 309 yds and they ran 74 plays (4.2 yds per play). Jacksonville rushed the ball for 4.3 yards per carry, totaling 82 yds on 19 carries. Jacksonville gave up 20 running attempts for 77 yards (3.9 yards per rush). The Jaguars pass defense gave up a completion rate of 70.8%, surrendering 354 yds on 34 out of 48 through the air.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Jaguars are ranking 27th in the league holding an average of 17.6 points per contest. For the year so far, the Jaguars have racked up 1,632 yards through the air along with holding an average of 233.1 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 18th in football. They hold an average of 116.1 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 813 yards for the year. The Jacksonville Jaguars hold an average of 349.3 yards per contest which has them ranked 17th in the league. The Jacksonville offense has racked up 382 penalty yds on 47 infractions, which ranks 19th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 9 picks while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to record 82 first downs.

The Jaguars are allowing 29.0 points per game, which has them sitting 28th in the league. Jacksonville has yielded a total of 755 rushing yards (107.9 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have given up 11 touchdowns through the air and 278.1 yards per outing, ranking them 29th in the NFL. The Jaguars defense has been on the field for 442 plays, which is good for 6th in the league. This season, they have allowed 203 total points. Their defense has compiled 2 takeaways (0 fumbles and 2 interceptions) so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jaguars +10.5

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