Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 11/7/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 9

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, November 7, 2021

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Caesars Superdome is the location where the New Orleans Saints (5-2) will try to defeat the Atlanta Falcons (3-4) on Sunday. Atlanta opens as 5.5-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 45.5.

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game with a record of 3-4 this season. In their last game, the Falcons went up against the Panthers and took a loss by a final of 19-13. Matt Ryan finished 20/27 with 146 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 67.8 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. Mike Davis led the offense in rushing for the Falcons with 9 totes for 44 yds (4.9 yds per attempt). Tajae Sharpe left with an average of 11.6 yards per reception by accumulating 58 yards on 5 catches. The Atlanta Falcons ended up running the ball 20 different times and accounted for 82 yds, which came out to an average of 4.1 yards per tote. In all, they tallied 50 plays which gave them 213 yards. Atlanta relinquished 32 pass completions on 40 tries for a total of 281 yds, and a completion percentage of 80.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Falcons gave up 132 yards on 29 tries, which calculates to 4.6 yards per run allowed.

The Falcons have tallied 2,338 total yards this year. Atlanta has accrued 95 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 39 infractions for 322 yds. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Atlanta has amassed 13 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 10 times (6 picks and 4 fumbles lost). Offensively they average 87.0 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 27th in the league. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Atlanta Falcons are sitting at 21.1 PPG.

Regarding yards through the air, the Falcons have allowed 1,632 yards which has them ranked 7th in the NFL. They have conceded 233.1 yards per contest via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 68.6%. During the season, they are conceding 358.3 yards per outing which ranks them 16th in the league. They have given up 15 touchdowns by air in addition to 6 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 125.1 rushing yards per contest this year. For the year, they have allowed 876 yards via the ground game in 7 games. The Falcons are ranked 26th in the NFL regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 27.9 points per game.

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The Saints head into this matchup 5-2 for this season. For their last game, the Saints took home the win by a final score of 36-27 against the Buccaneers. Trevor Siemian (1 touchdown) walked away from the game with 159 yds on 16/29 through the air while his QB rating was 82.4. He didn't throw any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 5.48 yds. Kevin White was featured in the passing game for the Saints, bringing in 1 footballs for 38 yards (38.0 yards per reception). Alvin Kamara carried the ball 19 times for 61 yards, walking away from the game with 3.2 yards per carry for New Orleans. The Saints finished the game with 361 yds on 72 plays (5.0 yds per play). New Orleans ran for 4.8 yards per attempt, totaling 152 yds on 32 carries. New Orleans surrendered 28 attempts on the ground for 90 yds (3.2 yards per rush). The Saints secondary gave up a completion percentage of 54.5%, relinquishing 129 yards on 12 out of 22 passing.

The New Orleans Saints average 305.9 yards per game ranking them 29th out of all teams in the league. They maintain an average of 125.0 yards per game on the ground and have run for 875 yards for the season. The New Orleans offense has totaled 346 penalty yards on 39 infractions, which is good for 28th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 4 picks while losing 2 fumbles and they have tallied 68 first downs. During this campaign to this point, the Saints have racked up 1,266 yards through the air as well as an average of 180.9 passing yards per contest, which ranks 31st in the NFL. When looking at their ability to score points, the Saints rank 13th out of all teams in the NFL with an average of 25.1 points per game.

The Saints are allowing 18.3 points per game, which has them sitting 4th in the league. New Orleans has given up a total of 556 rushing yards (79.4 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have allowed 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 264.9 yards per game, which has them ranked 22nd in the NFL. The Saints defense has participated in 444 plays, which is good for 7th in football. In total, they have conceded 128 total points. Their defense has compiled 13 turnovers (2 fumbles recovered and 11 interceptions) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Saints -5.5

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