Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 11/28/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Tips Week 12

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, November 28, 2021

Location: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Atlanta Falcons (4-6) are hitting the road to TIAA Bank Field on Sunday where they will meet the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8). Atlanta opens as 1-point favorites. The total has been set at 45.5.

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game with a record of 4-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Falcons took the field against the Patriots and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 25-0. Matt Ryan connected on 19/28 with 153 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 51.6 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Russell Gage averaged 9.8 yds per reception by recording 49 yards on 5 receptions. Qadree Ollison was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 9 carries for 34 yds (3.8 yds per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 52 plays which gave them a total of 165 yards. The Atlanta Falcons ended up rushing 16 different times and tallied 40 yards, which came out to an average of 2.5 yards per tote. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 134 yds on 30 attempts, which calculates to 4.5 yds per rush surrendered. Atlanta allowed 22 pass completions on 26 tries for a total of 174 yds, and a completion percentage of 84.6%.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Atlanta Falcons have an average of 17.8 PPG. As a team they have an average of 78.6 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 30th in the NFL. The Falcons have attained 3,083 total yards this year. Atlanta has accumulated 124 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 60 infractions for 511 yards. They have turned the football over 17 different times (13 interceptions and 4 fumbles). In terms of getting in the endzone, Atlanta has earned 15 touchdowns via the pass and 4 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning passing yardage, the Falcons have conceded 2,390 yards which ranks them 13th in the NFL. They have conceded 239.0 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 70.3%. Over the course of this season, they have yielded 362.3 yards/game which ranks them 20th in the league. They have surrendered 20 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for 4.2 yards per rushing attempt and 123.3 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. Overall, they have conceded 1,233 rushing yards through 10 games. The Falcons are ranked 31st in the league concerning team defense, giving up 28.8 points per game.

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The Jaguars head into this game 2-8 for this season. For their last game, the Jaguars took a loss by a score of 30-10 when they faced the 49ers. Trevor Lawrence ended the game with 158 yards on 16/25 passing while his quarterback rate was 81.7. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.32 yds. Marvin Jones had the best day in terms of receiving for the Jaguars, catching 4 passes for 52 yds (13.0 yards per catch). James Robinson ran the football 12 times for 29 yds, ending the game with 2.4 yds per attempt for Jacksonville. The Jaguars finished the contest with a total of 200 yds on 44 plays (4.5 yards per play). Jacksonville rushed for 3.4 yards per carry, finishing with 54 yds on 16 attempts. Jacksonville gave up 42 rush attempts for 171 yards (4.1 yds per carry). The Jaguars passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 72.7%, relinquishing 162 yds on 16 for 22 through the air.

The Jacksonville Jaguars average 319.4 yards per contest which ranks them 25th in the NFL. They hold an average of 112.5 run yards per game and have run for 1,125 yards for the year. The Jacksonville offense has racked up 571 penalty yds on 71 infractions, ranking them 15th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 9 interceptions while conceding 8 fumbles and they have been able to tally 102 1st downs. During this campaign thus far, the Jaguars have a total of 2,069 passing yards as well as an average of 206.9 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 24th in the NFL. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Jaguars currently sit 31st in the league holding an average of 15.9 points per contest.

The Jaguars are surrendering 26.2 points per game, which has them sitting 26th in the league. Jacksonville has given up a total of 1,125 yards rushing (112.5 yards per outing) and 12 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have given up 13 touchdowns through the air in addition to 250.6 yards/outing, which has them in 19th in the NFL. The Jaguars defense has participated in 635 plays, which has them ranked 12th in the league. In total, they have surrendered 262 total points. Their defense has earned 5 turnovers (1 fumble and 4 picks) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons -1

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