Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/2/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, January 2, 2022

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-14)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Buffalo Bills (9-6) are hosting the Atlanta Falcons (7-8) at Highmark Stadium on Sunday. Atlanta is 14-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 45.

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game with a record of 7-8 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons went up against the Lions and earned the victory with a final of 20-16. Mike Davis was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 7 attempts for 28 yards (4.0 yds per carry). Kyle Pitts averaged 17.0 yards per catch by totaling 102 yards on 6 catches. Matt Ryan finished 18/24 with 215 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 115.8 and finished the game without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Falcons conceded 130 yards on 33 attempts, which is an average of 3.9 yards per rush surrendered. Atlanta conceded 25 completions on 35 attempts for a total of 208 yds, and a completion rate of 71.4%. On the day, they ran 45 plays which gave them a total of 254 yards. The Atlanta Falcons ran the rock 18 times and totaled 47 yards, which is an average of 2.6 yards per attempt.

The Falcons currently have 4,642 total yards this season. Atlanta has recorded 178 first downs, and they have been called for 83 penalties for 680 yds. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Atlanta has totaled 19 touchdowns via the pass and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 22 times (14 picks and 8 fumbles lost). As a team they're maintaining an average of 86.2 yards in the run game which is 31st in the National Football League. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Atlanta Falcons are averaging 18.5 PPG.

Concerning passing yards, the Falcons have given up 3,660 yards which puts them in 23rd in football. They have conceded 244.0 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 69.1%. In total, they have relinquished 364.9 yards per contest which ranks them 24th in the league. They have yielded 28 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per tote and 120.9 rushing yards per game this season. Overall, they have allowed 1,814 rushing yards through 15 games. The Falcons sit in 28th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, conceding 26.7 points per game.

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The Bills step onto the field holding a record of 9-6 for this season. For their last game, the Bills got the win with a final of 33-21 when they faced the Patriots. Josh Allen (3 TDs) ended the game with 314 yards on 30/47 through the air while his QB rating was 104.4. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 6.68 yards. Isaiah McKenzie was the top contributor in the passing game for the Bills, grabbing 11 passes for 125 yards (11.4 yards per catch). Devin Singletary ran the ball 12 times for 39 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.3 yds per attempt for Buffalo. The Bills finished the game with a total of 428 yards while running 75 plays (5.7 yds per play). Buffalo rushed for 4.1 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 114 yards on 28 attempts. Buffalo relinquished 27 running attempts for 149 yards (5.5 yards per rush). The Bills secondary conceded a completion percentage of 43.8%, relinquishing 139 yards on 14 out of 32 passing.

The Buffalo Bills average 381.2 yards per outing which ranks them 6th out of all teams in the NFL. They maintain an average of 120.4 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,806 yards for the year. The Buffalo offense has 893 penalty yds on 102 violations, which has them ranked 7th in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 13 picks while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have tallied 213 1st downs. For the season to this point, the Bills have thrown for a total of 3,912 yards through the air in addition to an average of 260.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 7th in football. In terms of their ability to score points, the Bills sit 3rd in the NFL by scoring 28.5 points per game.

The Bills are relinquishing 17.6 points per game, which puts them in 3rd of all teams in the league. Buffalo has surrendered a total of 1,722 rushing yards (114.8 yards per game) and 18 touchdowns by ground this season. They have given up 11 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 173.1 yards/outing, which has them ranked 1st in the NFL. The Bills defense has been on the field for 918 plays, which is 9th in the NFL. In total, they have relinquished 264 points in total. They have compiled 29 turnovers (10 fumbles and 19 interceptions) on the season.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons +14

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