Titans vs Chiefs Predictions, Picks, Tips 1/19/2020

Game: Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, January 19, 2020

AFC Championship

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -10

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs host the Tennessee Titans at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, January 19 for the AFC Championship. Kansas City opens this contest as 10-point favorites. The total opens at 50.5. The Titans are 11-7-0 ATS and 10-8-0 when betting on the total. The Chiefs are 9-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 13-4-0 against the spread.

In the Divisional round, the Tennessee Titans went up against the Baltimore Ravens and ended up getting the victory by a score of 28-12. Derrick Henry led the team on the ground for that game. He tore off a long run of 66 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He scurried for 195 yards via 30 carries which meant he averaged 6.5 yards per run. Kalif Raymond was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 45 yards on 2 catches. He had an average of 45.0 yards per reception for that game. Leading the way at QB for the Titans was Ryan Tannehill who went 7/14 with 88 yards passing and tossed 2 TD's. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Tennessee Titans ran the ball 37 times and generated 217 yards which gave them an average of 5.9 yards per rush. In the game, the Titans got 15 first downs and they totaled 5 infractions for 20 yards. In the game, they totaled 53 plays for a total of 300 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Tennessee allowed 31 completions on 59 throws for a total of 345 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.0%. On the day, they allowed 530 yards and earned 3 takeaways. Against the run, the Titans allowed 185 yards on 29 carries which is an average of 6.4 yards per carry allowed.

The Titans are a team that has the capability to score points in the division and I wouldn't expect things to change too much in this game. For total yardage, they rank 5th in the conference and 12th in the NFL with 5,805 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Titans have compiled a total of 29 passing TDs and 21 rushing TDs. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league averaging 25 points per game, putting them 10th in the NFL. As a team, they are averaging 139 rushing yards per game which is 2nd among AFC teams.

The Titans have one of the best defenses in the NFL, giving up 20.7 points per contest putting them 7th among AFC teams. In regard to yards rushing, Tennessee is giving up 104.5 yards per contest putting them 2nd among AFC South teams and 12th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.0 yards per carry which has them at 4th in the AFC and 7th in the NFL overall. In total, they have allowed 2,223 yards rushing through 16 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Titans have allowed 4,080 yards. Teams are completing 64.5% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.4 yards per try. They have allowed 25 passing TDs and 14 rushing TDs.

The Chiefs played the Houston Texans and won 51-31 in the Divisional round after being down 24-0. Patrick Mahomes led the team on the ground for that contest. He broke a long run for 21 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for a total of 53 yards on 7 carries which had him averaging 7.6 yards per run. Travis Kelce led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 134 yards on 10 receptions. He had an average of 13.4 yards per reception for that contest. Mahomes went 23/35 with 321 yards through the air and tossed 5 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball 21 times and earned 118 yards giving them an average of 5.6 yards per rushing attempt. In all, they ran 57 plays which gave them a total of 434 yards. For the contest, the Chiefs racked up a total of 29 1st downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 37 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Kansas City gave up 31 catches on 52 tries for a total of 348 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. In the game, they conceded 442 yards and forced 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Chiefs gave up 94 yards on 21 carries which gave them an average of 4.5 yards per carry allowed.

Kansas City is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 98 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 23rd in the NFL. As a unit, they have a total of 1,569 rushing yards through 16 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Chiefs average 379 yards per game overall ranking them 6th in the NFL and 2nd in the conference. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Chiefs sit in 1st in the division and 5th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 28.2 points per game.

The Chiefs are giving up 19.3 points per game ranking them 1st in the division and 7th in the league. When talking about points allowed, they have given up 308 points in total. In terms of yards rushing, they are allowing 128 yards per contest which puts them at 26th in the NFL and 4th in the division. In 2019, they have conceded a total of 2,051 yards on the ground and 14 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the middling groups in the NFL. They are giving up 221 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Chiefs currently sit at 7th among AFC teams. They have allowed 21 passing TDs this year.

Who will win tonight's Titans/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Titans +10

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