New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 10/4/2020 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 4

Game: New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, October 4, 2020

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -8

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

Cam Newton and the New England Patriots (2-1) are headed to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday where they'll take on the Kansas City Chiefs (3-0). Kansas City opens this matchup as 8-point favorites. The over/under is set at 47.5.

The New England Patriots head into this game 2-1 for this season. In their last game they took on the Las Vegas Raiders and notched a win by a score of 36-20. Cam Newton went 17/28 with 162 yards through the air and added 1 touchdown. He threw 1 interception during the game. Sony Michel paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 48 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He racked up a total of 117 yards by way of 9 carries which had him averaging 13.0 yards per run. Rex Burkhead led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 49 yards on 7 catches. He notched an average of 7 yards per reception for the game. The New England Patriots ended up rushing 38 times and earned a total of 250 yards which earned them an average of 6.6 yards per carry. On the day, they ran 68 plays which added up to 406 yards. Overall, the Patriots racked up 25 1st downs and they had 2 penalties for 33 yards. In terms of defense, New England conceded 24 catches on 32 tries totaling 249 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. Against the run, the Patriots conceded 126 yards on 22 carries which means they had an average of 5.7 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they allowed 375 yards and forced 3 takeaways.

The Patriots have earned 1,227 total yards this year. As a team they average 178 yards via the ground game which ranks them 1st in the league. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New England has amassed 2 touchdowns via the pass and 7 rushing touchdowns. In terms of getting in the endzone, the New England Patriots hold an average of 29 PPG. When it comes to passing yards, the Patriots have surrendered 706 yards which ranks them 11th in the NFL. For the season, they have allowed 357.7 yards/outing putting them 12th in the National Football League. The Patriots sit in 11th in the NFL regarding team defense, allowing 22.0 points per game. The opposition is running for 4.6 yards per rush and 122.3 yards on the ground per game this season. During their 3 games played, they have surrendered 235.3 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 72.2%. In total, they have conceded 367 running yards through 3 games.

The Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 3-0 for this year. The last time they took the field they went up against the Baltimore Ravens and won 34-20. Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 16 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for 64 yards by way of 20 carries which meant he averaged 3.2 yards per carry. Travis Kelce was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 87 yards on 6 receptions. He had an average of 14.5 yards per reception for that game. Patrick Mahomes went 31/42 with 385 yards through the air and tossed 4 TD's. He ended the game without an interception. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up rushing 31 times and generated 132 yards which had them averaging 4.3 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, the Chiefs racked up a total of 29 first downs and they totaled 6 infractions for 38 yards. In the game, they finished with a total of 73 plays which gave them a total of 517 yards. In terms of defense, Kansas City allowed 15 completions on 28 tries for a total of 70 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.0%. Overall, they conceded 228 yards and earned 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Chiefs allowed 158 yards on 21 runs which gave them an average of 7.5 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Chiefs rank 4th in the league holding an average of 30.3 points per outing. During this campaign thus far, the Chiefs have thrown for a total of 877 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 292.3 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 4th in the league. They maintain an average of 141 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 423 yards overall. The Kansas City Chiefs hold an average of 433.3 yards/outing which is good for 5th out of all teams in the NFL. The Chiefs are ranked 6th in the National Football League in relation to the opposition scoring, giving up 20 PPG. They are allowing an average of 5.3 yards per running attempt and 153 rushing yards per contest for the year. In total, they have given up 459 rushing yards through 3 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Chiefs have given up 608 yards which has them sitting in 4th in the league. During their 3 games played this year, they have allowed 202.7 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 61.3%. For the year, they are surrendering 355.7 yards/game which has them sitting 11th in football.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +8

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