Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Prediction, 9/13/2020 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 1

Game: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2020

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: New England -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

Gillette Stadium is the venue where Cam Newton and the New England Patriots will play the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. New England opens this contest as 5.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 43.5.

The Dolphins ended the season having a 5-11 record. When talking about scoring points, the Miami Dolphins were sitting at 19.1 PPG. As a team they maintained an average of 72.3 yds via the ground game, which ranked them 32nd in the league. The Dolphins earned 4,960 total yards for last season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Miami compiled 22 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. Regarding passing yards, the Dolphins allowed 4,198 yards which ranked them 26th in the league. The opposition ran for 4.5 yards per rush on the ground and 135.4 yards on the ground per game for the previous year. They conceded 39 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 15 rushing touchdowns. Overall, they conceded 2,166 yards on the ground through 16 games. In total, they relinquished 397.8 yards/outing putting them at 30th in the NFL. The Dolphins were ranked 32nd in the NFL concerning team defense, conceding 30.9 PPG.

In 156 games in his career, Ryan Fitzpatrick has connected on 2,886 of his 4,787 attempts for a total of 32,886 yards. He averages 210.8 yards per contest through the air with a 85.5 QB rating. Fitzpatrick has thrown for 210 TD's compared to 161 interceptions and the longest throw of his career went for 51 yards. He's been driven back 1,509 yds while being the victim of a QB sack 285 times. His TD percentage on pass attempts is 4.4% and his interception rate is 3.4%. Up to this point in his career, Jordan Howard has taken the field in 57 contests and has accumulated 3,895 yds on the ground. He's carried the ball 897 times to the tune of 4.3 yards per attempt. He's averaging 68.3 yds per contest and has scored 30 times while carrying the ball. Howard has coughed up the ball 5 times in his career and his longest rush is 34 yards.

The Patriots wrapped up their season holding a 12-4 mark. When it comes to how much they score, the Patriots sat 7th in football holding an average of 26.3 points per game. For the 2019 season, the Patriots compiled 3,961 yards through the air along with averaging 247.6 passing yards per contest, which had them sitting 8th in the league. They held an average of 106.4 rushing yards per game and rushed for 1,703 yards for last season. The New England Patriots had an average of 354.0 yards/game which had them sitting 15th in football. The Patriots allowed 14.1 points per contest, which had them ranked 1st of all teams in the league. Over the course of the season, they gave up 225 points in total. New England gave up a total of 1,528 yards on the ground (95.5 yards per outing) as well as 7 touchdowns by way of the ground game during the previous season. They yielded 13 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to yielded 180.4 yards/game, which put them in 2nd in the league.

For his career, Newton has passed for 29,041 yds with 182 TD's and 108 interceptions. Since he's been in the league, he has been sacked 291 times totaling 2,199 yards lost behind the line of scrimmage. He has a quarterback rating of 71.0 with a TD percentage of 4.6% and an interception rate of 2.7%. His longest pass completion during his time in the league was for 44 yards and he's throwing for 232.3 yds per contest. Cam Newton has connected on 2,371 of his career 3,980 throws for a completion percentage of 59.6%. Sony Michel averages 63.6 yds on the ground per contest thus far in his career. He has rushed for 13 touchdowns with a long carry of 19 yards. His YPC is 4.0 and he has carried the ball 456 total times. Sony Michel has accumulated 1,843 yds on the ground in 29 games played in his career.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins +5.5

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