Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, January 3, 2021

Location: Bills Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

Bills Stadium is the venue where Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills (12-3) will take on the Miami Dolphins (10-5) on Sunday. The spread on this contest has Buffalo as 4.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 43.5.

The Miami Dolphins step onto the field holding a record of 10-5 this year. In their last game they went up against the Las Vegas Raiders and won by a score of 26-25. Ryan Fitzpatrick went 9/13 with 182 yards passing and completed 1 touchdown. He ended the game with no interceptions. Myles Gaskin paced the team in rushing in the game. He broke a long run for 24 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He rushed for a total of 87 yards via 14 carries which gave him an average of 6.2 yards per run. Gaskin led the team in receiving yardage by earning 82 yards on 5 receptions. He earned an average of 16.4 yards per reception in the game. The Miami Dolphins ran the ball a total of 25 times and totaled 130 yards giving them an average of 5.2 yards per rush. In all, they ran 63 plays for a total of 383 yards. For the game, the Dolphins racked up 18 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 76 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Miami gave up 21 completions on 34 attempts for a total of 314 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.0%. Against the run, the Dolphins gave up 104 yards on 24 tries which gave them an average of 4.3 yards per carry allowed. On the day, they conceded 418 yards and forced 1 turnover.

The Dolphins have tallied 4,970 total yards for the year. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 107.9 yards rushing which is 22nd in the league. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Miami has compiled 23 passing touchdowns and 13 touchdowns via the ground. Regarding scoring points, the Miami Dolphins have an average of 25.2 points per outing. The Dolphins sit in 1st in the league when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 18.8 points per game. They are allowing 4.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 118.9 rushing yards per game this season. Overall, they have allowed 1,784 yards via the ground game in 15 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Dolphins have surrendered 3,647 yards which has them ranked 19th in the NFL. Over the course of their 15 games played this season, they have yielded 243.1 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 62.9%. Overall, they are conceding 362.1 yards per outing ranking them 20th in the league.

The Bills head into this game 12-3 for this season. The last time they took the field they took on the New England Patriots and won by a score of 38-9. Zack Moss led the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 12 yards and he notched 1 touchdown for the game. He racked up a total of 57 yards on 12 carries which meant he was running for 4.8 yards per run. Stefon Diggs led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 145 yards on 9 catches. He earned an average of 16.1 yards per reception for the game. Josh Allen went 27/36 with 320 yards passing and tossed 4 TD's. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Buffalo Bills ended up running the ball 31 times and racked up 130 yards which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per attempt. Overall, the Bills racked up 31 first downs and they had a total of 3 penalties for 27 yards. Overall, they ran 71 plays which gave them a total of 474 yards. In terms of defense, Buffalo allowed 9 catches on 21 tries totaling 56 yards, and a completion percentage of 43.0%. On the day, they allowed a total of 201 yards but didn't get any takeaways. Against the run, the Bills allowed 145 yards on 24 attempts which is an average of 6.0 yards per attempt allowed.

Concerning the points being put on the board, the Bills currently rank 6th out of all teams in the NFL scoring 29.7 points per game. For the season to this point, the Bills have a total of 4,243 passing yards in addition to an average of 282.9 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 2nd out of all NFL teams. They have an average of 109.7 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,645 yards for the season. The Buffalo Bills maintain an average of 392.5 yards per game which has them sitting 4th out of all teams in the NFL. In terms of passing yards, the Bills have allowed 3,342 yards which has them sitting in 8th in the league. Over the course of this year, they have relinquished 345.7 yards per outing which has them ranked 10th in football. The Bills rank 14th in the league when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 23.3 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt and 122.9 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of their 15 games played this season, they are conceding 222.8 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 64.8%. In total, they have conceded 1,844 yards via the running game in 15 contests.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Dolphins +4.5

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